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Coagh Utd vs Newbuildings Prediction & H2H Stats

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2011/2012
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
15' Event
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Irish Cup 2011/2012 tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Coagh Utd
15%
Draws
36%
Newbuildings
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Coagh Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Coagh Utd lately — more wins on the board than Newbuildings.
  • Win probability leans Coagh Utd's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Coagh Utd have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Coagh Utd, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Coagh Utd Clean Sheet 11%
Newbuildings Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coagh Utd Newbuildings
Matches Played 32 21
Wins 13 8
Draws 4 1
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.78 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.94 2.52
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2012 Irish Cup
Coagh Utd vs Newbuildings
4:1
Feb 11, 2012 Irish Cup
Coagh Utd vs Newbuildings
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coagh Utd 47 / 100
Newbuildings 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coagh Utd Newbuildings

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Coagh Utd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Newbuildings conceded in 90% of 21 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Coagh Utd found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).

Newbuildings lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Coagh Utd VS Newbuildings
2.88 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Coagh Utd

(Home)
07 Oct
Cliftonville
4 : 1
Coagh Utd
12 Aug
Ballyclare
1 : 2
Coagh Utd
13 Aug
Rathfriland Rangers
2 : 1
Coagh Utd
27 Jul
Coagh Utd
1 : 1
Ballymena
03 Oct
Portadown
4 : 1
Coagh Utd
Page 1 of 7

Newbuildings

(Away)
11 Jul
Newbuildings
2 : 5
Coleraine
22 Nov
Newbuildings
1 : 2
Moyola
05 Jul
Newbuildings
1 : 7
Linfield
28 Sept
Dunmurry Rec
3 : 2
Newbuildings
17 Aug
Holywood
1 : 4
Newbuildings
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Crusaders -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
Tobermore -
Wakehurst -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
Larne Technical Old Boys 2
Downpatrick 0
Islandmagee 1
Rathfriland Rangers 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Donegal -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
TBD -
TBD -
Institute -
Ards -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cliftonville -
Newington FC 4
Sirocco 3
TBD -
Glebe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
PSNI -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Newry City -
TBD -
TBD -
Sport & Leisure -
Immaculata 2
Crumlin Star 0
TBD -
Banbridge -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Portstewart -
Iveagh Utd 2
Wellington Rec 1
TBD -
Ballymoney -
Derriaghy 1
Ballynahinch United 0
TBD -
Queens University -
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Lisburn Distillery -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymena -
Coagh Utd -
TBD -
Mountjoy 0
Banbridge Rangers 3
Chimney -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
Dunmurry Rec 4
Bangor Old Boys 0
Foundry 1
Ards Rangers 3
Armagh -
TBD -
Dromara 1
Newbuildings 6
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moyola -
TBD -
TBD -
Killymoon -
Ballyclare -
TBD -
TBD -
Lurgan Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Linfield -
1/32-finals
Crusaders -
TBD -
Harland & Wolff 0
Warrenpoint 1
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
Ballinamallard 3
Tobermore 1
Wakehurst 0
Dundela 2
Larne Technical Old Boys 6
Rathfriland Rangers 1
TBD -
Coleraine -
Donegal -
TBD -
Limavady 0
Institute 2
Ards 3
Annagh 0
TBD -
Cliftonville -
Newington FC 3
Glebe 0
TBD -
Glentoran -
Larne 3
PSNI 0
TBD -
Dungannon -
Newry City 6
Sport & Leisure 1
Immaculata 1
Banbridge 4
Bangor FC 3
Portstewart 0
Iveagh Utd 1
Ballymoney 4
Derriaghy 2
Queens University 0
Knockbreda 1
Dergview 5
Lisburn Distillery -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymena -
Coagh Utd 1
Banbridge Rangers 0
Chimney 0
Loughgall 5
Dunmurry Rec 3
Ards Rangers 2
Armagh 0
Newbuildings 3
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
Moyola 1
Killymoon 3
Ballyclare 2
Lurgan Celtic 1
TBD -
Linfield -
1/16-finals
Crusaders 3
Warrenpoint 0
Portadown 1
Glenavon 2
Ballinamallard 3
Dundela 0
Larne Technical Old Boys 2
Coleraine 3
Donegal 2
Institute 1
Ards 0
Cliftonville 2
Newington FC 1
Glentoran 0
Larne 1
Dungannon 3
Newry City 1
Banbridge 0
Bangor FC 2
Ballymoney 4
Derriaghy 1
Dergview 0
Lisburn Distillery 1
Ballymena 2
Coagh Utd 4
Loughgall 3
Dunmurry Rec 1
Newbuildings 4
Carrick Rangers 3
Killymoon 1
Ballyclare 1
Linfield 7
1/8-finals
Crusaders 4
Glenavon 0
Ballinamallard 0
Coleraine 3
Donegal 1
Cliftonville 0
Newington FC 0
Dungannon 3
Newry City 6
Ballymoney 1
Derriaghy 1
Ballymena 3
Coagh Utd 5
Newbuildings 2
Carrick Rangers 1
Linfield 5
Quarter-finals
Crusaders 2
Coleraine 0
Donegal 1
Dungannon 2
Newry City 3
Ballymena 0
Coagh Utd 0
Linfield 4
Semi-finals
Crusaders 1
Dungannon 0
Newry City 0
Linfield 7
Final
Crusaders 1
Linfield 4