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Coal India vs Mohun Bagan U23

India India

Calcutta Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Singh M.
34' Event
Samad S.
37' Event
Malik S.

AI Match Summary

The Calcutta Premier Division game between Coal India and Mohun Bagan U23 finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mohun Bagan U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Coal India
20%
Draws
52%
Mohun Bagan U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mohun Bagan U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mohun Bagan U23 come out ahead of Coal India on wins alone.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Mohun Bagan U23 taking it.
  • Regular Calcutta Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Coal India Clean Sheet 12%
Mohun Bagan U23 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coal India Mohun Bagan U23
Matches Played 14 30
Wins 6 15
Draws 4 6
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 1.36 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 Calcutta Premier Division
Coal India vs Mohun Bagan U23
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coal India Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Mohun Bagan U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Singh M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Samad S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coal India 10 / 100
Mohun Bagan U23 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coal India Mohun Bagan U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mohun Bagan U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Coal India scored in 71% of their last 14 outings.

Mohun Bagan U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Coal India stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Coal India VS Mohun Bagan U23
1.38 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Coal India

(Home)
19 Sept
Coal India
0 : 7
East Bengal
15 Sept
Coal India
0 : 3
Bhawanipore
10 Sept
Coal India
1 : 5
Mohun Bagan U23
03 Sept
Coal India
1 : 0
Suruchi Sangha
28 Aug
Coal India
2 : 0
Mohammedan
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Mohun Bagan U23

(Away)
19 Sept
Mohun Bagan U23
3 : 2
Mohammedan
14 Sept
United SC
1 : 1
Mohun Bagan U23
10 Sept
Coal India
1 : 5
Mohun Bagan U23
07 Sept
East Bengal
1 : 1
Mohun Bagan U23
01 Sept
BSS Sporting
0 : 3
Mohun Bagan U23
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