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Stadium Background

Coastal Spirit vs Eastern Suburbs

New Zealand New Zealand

National League 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Yoo D.
58' Event
Hoole J.
76' Event
Mechell J.

AI Match Summary

The National League 2024 game between Coastal Spirit and Eastern Suburbs finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Coastal Spirit.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Coastal Spirit
15%
Draws
51%
Eastern Suburbs
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Eastern Suburbs

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Eastern Suburbs carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Eastern Suburbs are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Coastal Spirit Clean Sheet 10%
Eastern Suburbs Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coastal Spirit Eastern Suburbs
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 13
Draws 5 5
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.31 1.67
Goals Conceded 2.28 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2024 National League
Coastal Spirit vs Eastern Suburbs
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coastal Spirit Compare

Top Goalscorer Yoo D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hoole J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Eastern Suburbs Compare

Top Goalscorer Mechell J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coastal Spirit 10 / 100
Eastern Suburbs 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coastal Spirit Eastern Suburbs

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eastern Suburbs Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coastal Spirit scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Eastern Suburbs has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Eastern Suburbs has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Coastal Spirit VS Eastern Suburbs
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Coastal Spirit

(Home)
05 Mar
Coastal Spirit
0 : 0
Christchurch
26 Feb
Coastal Spirit
1 : 5
Nomads United
06 Dec
Auckland City
3 : 0
Coastal Spirit
23 Nov
Coastal Spirit
1 : 0
Western Springs
15 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2
1 : 0
Coastal Spirit
Page 1 of 6

Eastern Suburbs

(Away)
16 Aug
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 2
Wellington Olympic
26 Jul
Fencibles United AFC
0 : 2
Eastern Suburbs
05 Jul
Manukau United
1 : 3
Eastern Suburbs
24 Nov
Eastern Suburbs
0 : 2
Western Suburbs
16 Nov
Cashmere Technical
1 : 0
Eastern Suburbs
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Birkenhead 9 6 2 1 23:16 20
2 Auckland City 9 6 1 2 20:10 19
3 Western Springs 9 6 0 3 25:16 18
4 Napier City 9 5 2 2 21:14 17
5 Wellington Phoenix 2 9 4 1 4 16:19 13
6 Wellington Olympic 9 3 2 4 17:15 11
7 Coastal Spirit 9 3 2 4 18:20 11
8 Cashmere Technical 9 2 3 4 16:18 9
9 Eastern Suburbs 9 1 2 6 8:17 5
10 Western Suburbs 9 1 1 7 9:28 4
Promotion - National League 2024 (Grand Final)