Sport Picks

New Zealand

National League Tāne Norton Park

Western Springs

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Coastal Spirit play Western Springs in the National League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Coastal Spirit averaged 0.5 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. Western Springs averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. In past meetings, Coastal Spirit won 1, Western Springs won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 23, 2025 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Coastal Spirit and 2.00 for Western Springs. This points to a Western Springs double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Coastal Spirit

11%

Draws

80%

Western Springs

Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Western Springs

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Western Springs has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Coastal Spirit.
Model forecasts a 80% win probability edge for Western Springs.
League standings and seasonal metrics in National League provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Coastal Spirit Clean Sheet 10%

Western Springs Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Coastal Spirit	Western Springs
Matches Played	27	23
Wins	8	12
Draws	5	1
Losses	14	10
Goals Scored	0.5	1.5
Goals Conceded	2.5	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	0.50	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.50	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 23, 2025 National League

Coastal Spirit vs Western Springs

Possession: 48% - 42% Cards: 2 - 4

1:0

Oct 5, 2024 National League

Western Springs vs Coastal Spirit

Possession: 42% - 54% Cards: 3 - 1

6:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coastal Spirit Compare

Top Goalscorer Tieku D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.38

Avg xA / game 0.25

Western Springs Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coastal Spirit 10 / 100

Western Springs 75 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Coastal Spirit Western Springs

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WSP Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coastal Spirit scored in 70% of their last 27 games.

Western Springs let in goals in 78% of their last 23 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Coastal Spirit went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Western Springs lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Coastal Spirit VS Western Springs

0.5 Goals Scored 1.5

2.5 Goals Conceded 1.25

63% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 75%

38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Wellington Olympic	10	7	0	3	23:14	21
2	Auckland City	10	6	2	2	19:14	20
3	Miramar	10	6	1	3	25:14	19
4	Auckland FC 2	10	5	3	2	17:10	18
5	Western Springs	10	5	1	4	16:13	16
6	Birkenhead	10	5	0	5	20:21	15
7	Christchurch	10	4	2	4	16:19	14
8	Wellington Phoenix 2	10	3	1	6	18:21	10
9	Western Suburbs	10	3	1	6	19:21	10
10	Auckland United	10	2	2	6	11:19	8
11	Coastal Spirit	10	2	1	7	5:23	7