Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Coastal Union vs Azam

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 Mkwakwani Stadium, Tanga
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Zouzou A.
Assist: Suleiman A.
34' Event
Salum F.
Assist: Suleiman A.

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 game between Coastal Union and Azam finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Azam.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Coastal Union
20%
Draws
52%
Azam
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Azam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Azam come out ahead of Coastal Union on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Azam's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Azam have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Coastal Union Clean Sheet 16%
Azam Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coastal Union Azam
Matches Played 35 35
Wins 14 24
Draws 8 8
Losses 13 3
Goals Scored 1.17 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.26 0.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs Azam
0:2
Jan 17, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Azam vs Coastal Union
3:0
Feb 19, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs Azam
0:0
Sep 22, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Azam vs Coastal Union
1:0
Aug 8, 2024 Community Shield
Azam vs Coastal Union
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coastal Union Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Azam Compare

Top Goalscorer Zouzou A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Salum F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coastal Union 11 / 100
Azam 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coastal Union Azam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Azam Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coastal Union's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Coastal Union remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Azam conceded in 31% of 35 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Coastal Union VS Azam
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Coastal Union

(Home)
12 Sept
Coastal Union
2 : 1
JKT Tanzania
06 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 2
Coastal Union
27 Aug
Simba
1 : 0
Coastal Union
24 Aug
Coastal Union
1 : 1
TRA United
20 Aug
Young Africans
4 : 1
Coastal Union
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Azam

(Away)
07 Sept
Azam
2 : 0
Namungo
31 Aug
Kagera Sugar
0 : 2
Azam
28 Aug
Geita Gold
2 : 2
Azam
23 Aug
Azam
2 : 1
Pamba
20 Aug
Azam
2 : 1
TRA United
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Young Africans 30 23 6 1 71:9 75
2 Simba 30 22 7 1 54:11 73
3 Azam 30 18 10 2 46:12 64
4 Singida Black Stars 30 15 5 10 47:35 50
5 TRA United 30 11 10 9 33:28 43
6 JKT Tanzania 30 10 12 8 30:33 42
7 Pamba 30 9 9 12 32:35 36
8 Coastal Union 30 9 9 12 31:37 36
9 Dodoma Jiji 30 8 11 11 25:36 35
10 Namungo 30 7 13 10 25:32 34
11 Mashujaa 30 7 12 11 15:27 33
12 Fountain Gate 30 9 6 15 25:44 33
13 Tanzania Prisons 30 9 5 16 23:41 32
14 Mbeya City 30 7 9 14 24:41 30
15 Mtibwa Sugar 30 6 9 15 25:48 27
16 Kinondoni MC 30 2 3 25 16:53 9
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 (Relegation)