Sport Picks

Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara Mkwakwani Stadium

Azam

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Coastal Union play Azam in the Ligi Kuu Bara. It looks like a close match. Recently, Coastal Union averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.22 conceded. Azam averaged 1.59 goals scored and 0.47 conceded. In past meetings, Coastal Union won 0, Azam won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 27, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Coastal Union and 1.50 for Azam. This points to a Azam double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%

Coastal Union

25%

Draws

49%

Azam

Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Azam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence

Coastal Union picked up more points recently compared to Azam.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 1.50 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 72%

Over 2.5 Goals 35%

Over 3.5 Goals 21%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%

Coastal Union Clean Sheet 16%

Azam Clean Sheet 16%

First Half Goal 65%

Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Coastal Union	Azam
Matches Played	32	34
Wins	11	22
Draws	9	9
Losses	12	3
Goals Scored	1.03	1.59
Goals Conceded	1.22	0.47
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara

Coastal Union vs Azam

Possession: 58% - 54% Cards: 3 - 1

0:2

Jan 17, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara

Azam vs Coastal Union

Possession: 50% - 44% Cards: 2 - 4

3:0

Feb 19, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara

Coastal Union vs Azam

Possession: 49% - 45% Cards: 1 - 2

0:0

Sep 22, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara

Azam vs Coastal Union

Possession: 42% - 44% Cards: 3 - 3

1:0

Aug 8, 2024 Community Shield

Azam vs Coastal Union

Possession: 58% - 50% Cards: 1 - 1

5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coastal Union Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Azam Compare

Top Goalscorer Zouzou A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Salum F.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coastal Union 27 / 100

Azam 47 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Coastal Union Azam

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Azam or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +44.6%

5.56

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +20.8%

3.45

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Coastal Union attacking → ← attacking Azam

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coastal Union scored in 63% of their last 32 games.

Azam let in goals in 24% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Coastal Union went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Azam lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 75

1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.88

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Young Africans	30	23	6	1	71:9	75
2	Simba	30	22	7	1	54:11	73
3	Azam	30	18	10	2	46:12	64
4	Singida Black Stars	30	15	5	10	47:35	50
5	TRA United	30	11	10	9	33:28	43
6	JKT Tanzania	30	10	12	8	30:33	42
7	Pamba	30	9	9	12	32:35	36
8	Coastal Union	30	9	9	12	31:37	36
9	Dodoma Jiji	30	8	11	11	25:36	35
10	Namungo	30	7	13	10	25:32	34
11	Mashujaa	30	7	12	11	15:27	33
12	Fountain Gate	30	9	6	15	25:44	33
13	Tanzania Prisons	30	9	5	16	23:41	32
14	Mbeya City	30	7	9	14	24:41	30
15	Mtibwa Sugar	30	6	9	15	25:48	27
16	Kinondoni MC	30	2	3	25	16:53	9