Sport Picks

Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara Mkwakwani Stadium

Dodoma Jiji

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Coastal Union play Dodoma Jiji in the Ligi Kuu Bara. It looks like a close match. Recently, Coastal Union averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.26 conceded. Dodoma Jiji averaged 0.84 goals scored and 1.26 conceded. In past meetings, Coastal Union won 3, Dodoma Jiji won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 15, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Coastal Union and 1.06 for Dodoma Jiji. This points to a Coastal Union double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Coastal Union

29%

Draws

31%

Dodoma Jiji

Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Coastal Union

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

Coastal Union picked up more points recently compared to Dodoma Jiji.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.06 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 36%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%

Coastal Union Clean Sheet 22%

Dodoma Jiji Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 62%

Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Coastal Union	Dodoma Jiji
Matches Played	31	31
Wins	10	8
Draws	9	11
Losses	12	12
Goals Scored	1.03	0.84
Goals Conceded	1.26	1.26
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara

Coastal Union vs Dodoma Jiji

Possession: 47% - 51% Cards: 1 - 1

3:1

Sep 27, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara

Dodoma Jiji vs Coastal Union

Possession: 42% - 48% Cards: 3 - 3

2:0

Mar 7, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara

Dodoma Jiji vs Coastal Union

Possession: 48% - 44% Cards: 1 - 1

0:0

Oct 18, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara

Coastal Union vs Dodoma Jiji

Possession: 52% - 43% Cards: 3 - 2

2:0

Feb 15, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara

Coastal Union vs Dodoma Jiji

Possession: 41% - 44% Cards: 2 - 2

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coastal Union Compare

Top Goalscorer Gwalala G.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Maulid M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Dodoma Jiji Compare

Top Goalscorer Waziri J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coastal Union 40 / 100

Dodoma Jiji 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Coastal Union Dodoma Jiji

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Coastal Union or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +25.2%

3.13

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +19.9%

3.33

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Coastal Union attacking → ← attacking Dodoma Jiji

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coastal Union scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Dodoma Jiji let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Coastal Union went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Dodoma Jiji lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 35

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.75

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Young Africans	30	23	6	1	71:9	75
2	Simba	30	22	7	1	54:11	73
3	Azam	30	18	10	2	46:12	64
4	Singida Black Stars	30	15	5	10	47:35	50
5	TRA United	30	11	10	9	33:28	43
6	JKT Tanzania	30	10	12	8	30:33	42
7	Pamba	30	9	9	12	32:35	36
8	Coastal Union	30	9	9	12	31:37	36
9	Dodoma Jiji	30	8	11	11	25:36	35
10	Namungo	30	7	13	10	25:32	34
11	Mashujaa	30	7	12	11	15:27	33
12	Fountain Gate	30	9	6	15	25:44	33
13	Tanzania Prisons	30	9	5	16	23:41	32
14	Mbeya City	30	7	9	14	24:41	30
15	Mtibwa Sugar	30	6	9	15	25:48	27
16	Kinondoni MC	30	2	3	25	16:53	9