Sport Picks
Coastal Union vs Kagera Sugar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Tanzania
Ligi Kuu Bara Mkwakwani Stadium, Tanga 
AI Match Summary
Coastal Union host Kagera Sugar in the Ligi Kuu Bara. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Coastal Union at 1.16 goals for, 1.39 against; Kagera Sugar at 0.9 for, 1.66 against. Past meetings favor Coastal Union slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 3, 2025, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.44) point toward Coastal Union. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Coastal Union come out ahead of Kagera Sugar on wins alone.
- Coastal Union are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Coastal Union | Kagera Sugar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 5 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.16 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.39 | 1.66 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kagera Sugar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.
Attacking prowess: Coastal Union scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.
Games between these two average 1.60 goals.
Coastal Union has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Coastal Union
(Home)Kagera Sugar
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simba | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 19:4 | 24 |
| 2 | Young Africans | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17:4 | 18 |
| 3 | Azam | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 17 |
| 4 | Mashujaa | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 9:13 | 12 |
| 5 | Singida Black Stars | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14:11 | 11 |
| 6 | Dodoma Jiji | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 11 |
| 7 | Polisi Tanzania | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:9 | 10 |
| 8 | Mbeya City | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:7 | 10 |
| 9 | JKT Tanzania | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:11 | 10 |
| 10 | Coastal Union | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:11 | 10 |
| 11 | Namungo | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 7:11 | 9 |
| 12 | Geita Gold | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | 7 |
| 13 | TRA United | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:7 | 6 |
| 14 | Kagera Sugar | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8:15 | 5 |
| 15 | Pamba | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8:13 | 4 |
| 16 | Fountain Gate | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:11 | 4 |
