Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Coastal Union vs Lipuli

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

83'
Materaz P.
85' Event
Lyanga A.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Masoud H.

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 game between Coastal Union and Lipuli finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Coastal Union.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Coastal Union
20%
Draws
40%
Lipuli
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Lipuli haven't matched Coastal Union's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Coastal Union's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Coastal Union Clean Sheet 20%
Lipuli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coastal Union Lipuli
Matches Played 43 30
Wins 17 9
Draws 11 5
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.19 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs Lipuli
2:0
Oct 27, 2019 Ligi Kuu Bara
Lipuli vs Coastal Union
0:1
Jan 5, 2019 Ligi Kuu Bara
Lipuli vs Coastal Union
2:1
Aug 22, 2018 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs Lipuli
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coastal Union Compare

Top Goalscorer Masoud H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Lipuli Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coastal Union 36 / 100
Lipuli 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coastal Union Lipuli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Coastal Union scored in 70% of their last 43 outings.

Defensive concern: Lipuli conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Coastal Union went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Coastal Union VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Coastal Union

(Home)
12 Sept
Coastal Union
2 : 1
JKT Tanzania
06 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 2
Coastal Union
27 Aug
Simba
1 : 0
Coastal Union
24 Aug
Coastal Union
1 : 1
TRA United
20 Aug
Young Africans
4 : 1
Coastal Union
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Lipuli

(Away)
26 Jul
Lipuli
0 : 1
Young Africans
23 Jul
Lipuli
1 : 0
Ruvu Shooting
19 Jul
Lipuli
1 : 1
Azam
14 Jul
Lipuli
2 : 0
Kinondoni MC
09 Jul
Alliance
2 : 0
Lipuli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Simba 38 27 7 4 78:21 88
2 Young Africans 38 19 15 4 45:28 72
3 Azam 38 20 10 8 52:26 70
4 Namungo 38 17 13 8 46:37 64
5 Polisi Tanzania 38 15 10 13 37:35 55
6 JKT Tanzania 38 13 15 10 34:32 54
7 Coastal Union 38 14 11 13 33:30 53
8 Kagera Sugar 38 15 7 16 44:41 52
9 Biashara Mara United 38 12 14 12 29:27 50
10 Tanzania Prisons 38 10 19 9 35:30 49
11 Mwadui 38 12 11 15 39:45 47
12 Ruvu Shooting 38 12 11 15 34:42 47
13 Kinondoni MC 38 13 7 18 35:47 46
14 Mtibwa Sugar 38 11 12 15 30:34 45
15 Mbeya City 38 12 9 17 33:42 45
16 Mbao 38 12 9 17 33:43 45
17 Alliance 38 11 12 15 36:48 45
18 Lipuli 38 12 8 18 43:51 44
19 Ndanda 38 9 14 15 28:35 41
20 Singida United 38 4 6 28 23:73 18
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 (Relegation)