Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cobreloa vs Coquimbo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Chile Chile

Copa Chile Estadio Zorros del Desierto, Calama
Cobreloa Logo

Cobreloa

1 - 2
FT
Coquimbo Logo

Coquimbo

Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Zepeda M.
56'
Sub
Rojas J. In: Pratto L.
Out: Rojas J.
62'
Sub
Duma J. In: Matamoros F.
Out: Duma J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Cobreloa
15%
Draws
39%
Coquimbo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cobreloa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Cobreloa average 1.52 goals a game right now, well clear of Coquimbo's 1.34.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Cobreloa taking it.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Coquimbo, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Coquimbo have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Cobreloa Clean Sheet 68%
Coquimbo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cobreloa Coquimbo
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 13 13
Draws 9 11
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.52 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2026 Copa Chile
Coquimbo vs Cobreloa
2:1
Sep 22, 2026 Copa Chile
Cobreloa vs Coquimbo
1:2
Aug 28, 2024 Liga de Primera
Cobreloa vs Coquimbo
1:0
Apr 7, 2024 Liga de Primera
Coquimbo vs Cobreloa
2:1
Sep 6, 2021 Liga de Ascenso
Coquimbo vs Cobreloa
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cobreloa Compare

Top Goalscorer Orellana C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Coquimbo Compare

Top Goalscorer Cabrera S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cobreloa 50 / 100
Coquimbo 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cobreloa Coquimbo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cobreloa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cobreloa scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Coquimbo let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Cobreloa has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cobreloa VS Coquimbo
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cobreloa

(Home)
07 Oct
Coquimbo
2 : 1
Cobreloa
03 Oct
Deportes Temuco
0 : 1
Cobreloa
26 Sept
Cobreloa
1 : 0
S. Wanderers
22 Sept
Cobreloa
1 : 2
Coquimbo
10 Sept
Antofagasta
0 : 0
Cobreloa
Page 1 of 6

Coquimbo

(Away)
07 Oct
Coquimbo
2 : 1
Cobreloa
22 Sept
Cobreloa
1 : 2
Coquimbo
16 Sept
Coquimbo
0 : 1
Huachipato
12 Sept
Cobresal
3 : 2
Coquimbo
06 Sept
U. De Chile
4 : 2
Coquimbo
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Colo Colo 1
A. Italiano 0
Nublense 2
D. Puerto Montt 3
Deportes Santa Cruz 2
O Higgins 5
D. Concepcion 6
Curico Unido 0
U. De Chile 2
Everton 1
Antofagasta 5
Deportes Iquique 2
U. Catolica 1
Union La Calera 2
Coquimbo 4
Cobreloa 2
Quarter-finals
Colo Colo 2
D. Puerto Montt 0
O Higgins 3
D. Concepcion 0
U. De Chile 0
Antofagasta 2
Union La Calera -
Coquimbo -
Semi-finals
TBD -
O Higgins -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -