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Stadium Background

Cobreloa vs D. Puerto Montt - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Zorros del Desierto, Calama
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
08:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cobreloa host D. Puerto Montt in the Liga de Ascenso. Little to choose between these two on current form. Cobreloa have averaged 1.63 scored and 1.17 conceded recently, against D. Puerto Montt's 0.84 scored and 1.26 conceded. Past meetings favor Cobreloa slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 6, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 0.94, favoring Cobreloa. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Cobreloa
15%
Draws
8%
D. Puerto Montt
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cobreloa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • D. Puerto Montt haven't matched Cobreloa's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Cobreloa a 77% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Cobreloa Clean Sheet 20%
D. Puerto Montt Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cobreloa D. Puerto Montt
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 10
Draws 9 5
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.63 0.84
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
D. Puerto Montt vs Cobreloa
1:1
Jul 23, 2023 Liga de Ascenso
Cobreloa vs D. Puerto Montt
1:0
Mar 6, 2023 Liga de Ascenso
D. Puerto Montt vs Cobreloa
0:0
Aug 12, 2022 Liga de Ascenso
D. Puerto Montt vs Cobreloa
1:1
Apr 2, 2022 Liga de Ascenso
Cobreloa vs D. Puerto Montt
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cobreloa 85 / 100
D. Puerto Montt 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cobreloa D. Puerto Montt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cobreloa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cobreloa scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

D. Puerto Montt let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Cobreloa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cobreloa VS D. Puerto Montt
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cobreloa

(Home)
17 Oct
Cobreloa
6 : 1
Recoleta
11 Oct
Copiapo
2 : 1
Cobreloa
07 Oct
Coquimbo
2 : 1
Cobreloa
03 Oct
Deportes Temuco
0 : 1
Cobreloa
26 Sept
Cobreloa
1 : 0
S. Wanderers
Page 1 of 6

D. Puerto Montt

(Away)
18 Oct
San Marcos de Arica
0 : 0
D. Puerto Montt
12 Oct
D. Puerto Montt
0 : 1
San Luis
03 Oct
Copiapo
3 : 0
D. Puerto Montt
29 Sept
D. Puerto Montt
0 : 1
Colo Colo
26 Sept
Nublense
2 : 1
D. Puerto Montt
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Luis 28 15 8 5 43:29 53
2 Cobreloa 28 14 9 5 51:30 51
3 S. Wanderers 28 13 8 7 46:31 47
4 Magallanes 29 13 7 9 45:44 46
5 Antofagasta 28 12 9 7 47:26 45
6 Recoleta 28 11 8 9 40:42 41
7 San Marcos de Arica 28 10 10 8 33:27 40
8 Copiapo 28 11 7 10 42:41 40
9 U. Espanola 28 11 6 11 33:35 39
10 Deportes Iquique 29 9 11 9 42:33 38
11 Deportes Temuco 28 9 9 10 44:39 36
12 D. Puerto Montt 28 10 5 13 26:35 35
13 Curico Unido 28 7 10 11 26:42 28
14 Deportes Santa Cruz 28 4 11 13 28:42 23
15 San Felipe 28 5 8 15 18:50 23
16 Rangers 28 5 6 17 28:46 21
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)