Sport Picks
Cobreloa vs San Marcos de Arica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Chile
Liga de Ascenso Estadio Zorros del Desierto, Calama 
Match Events
32'
32'
Sagredo B.
32'
32'
Tapia D.
55'
55'
Sub
Sandoval M. In: Delgado A.
Out: Sandoval M.
AI Match Summary
Cobreloa in this Liga de Ascenso matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cobreloa.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
15%
48%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: San Marcos de Arica
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Cobreloa have won more games recently than San Marcos de Arica.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Cobreloa Clean Sheet 22%
San Marcos de Arica Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cobreloa | San Marcos de Arica |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 1, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Cobreloa vs San Marcos de Arica
2:0
Apr 18, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
San Marcos de Arica vs Cobreloa
2:1
Nov 30, 2025 Liga de Primera
Cobreloa vs San Marcos de Arica
3:1
Nov 26, 2025 Liga de Primera
San Marcos de Arica vs Cobreloa
2:1
Jul 19, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Cobreloa vs San Marcos de Arica
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cobreloa Compare
Top Goalscorer Velazco F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gotti G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
San Marcos de Arica Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cobreloa 32 / 100
San Marcos de Arica 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cobreloa San Marcos de Arica
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick San Marcos de Arica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cobreloa scored in 89% of their last 28 games.
San Marcos de Arica let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Cobreloa stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Cobreloa VS San Marcos de Arica
1 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Cobreloa
(Home) 07 Oct
Coquimbo
2 : 1 Cobreloa
03 Oct
Deportes Temuco
0 : 1 Cobreloa
26 Sept
Cobreloa
1 : 0 S. Wanderers
22 Sept
Cobreloa
1 : 2 Coquimbo
10 Sept
Antofagasta
0 : 0 Cobreloa
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Cobreloa
1 : 0 S. Wanderers
22 Sept
Cobreloa
1 : 2 Coquimbo
01 Sept
Cobreloa
2 : 0 San Marcos de Arica
22 Aug
Cobreloa
0 : 1 U. Espanola
08 Aug
Cobreloa
1 : 1 Deportes Iquique
Page 1 of 3
San Marcos de Arica
(Away) 03 Oct
Deportes Santa Cruz
1 : 2 San Marcos de Arica
13 Sept
San Marcos de Arica
3 : 0 Curico Unido
09 Sept
Recoleta
2 : 1 San Marcos de Arica
06 Sept
San Marcos de Arica
2 : 1 Copiapo
01 Sept
Cobreloa
2 : 0 San Marcos de Arica
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Deportes Santa Cruz
1 : 2 San Marcos de Arica
09 Sept
Recoleta
2 : 1 San Marcos de Arica
01 Sept
Cobreloa
2 : 0 San Marcos de Arica
16 Aug
U. Espanola
2 : 1 San Marcos de Arica
08 Aug
S. Wanderers
1 : 1 San Marcos de Arica
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 44:27 | 48 |
| 2 | San Luis | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 41:29 | 47 |
| 3 | Magallanes | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 44:39 | 46 |
| 4 | S. Wanderers | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 42:30 | 44 |
| 5 | Antofagasta | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 44:26 | 41 |
| 6 | Recoleta | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 39:36 | 41 |
| 7 | San Marcos de Arica | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 33:24 | 39 |
| 8 | Copiapo | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 40:39 | 37 |
| 9 | U. Espanola | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32:34 | 36 |
| 10 | Deportes Temuco | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 42:37 | 35 |
| 11 | D. Puerto Montt | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 26:34 | 34 |
| 12 | Deportes Iquique | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 35:30 | 31 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 24:40 | 27 |
| 14 | Deportes Santa Cruz | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 28:42 | 22 |
| 15 | San Felipe | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 16:44 | 22 |
| 16 | Rangers | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 23:42 | 18 |
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)
