Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cobreloa vs U. Espanola

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Zorros del Desierto, Calama
Our Tip

Match Events

63'
Sub
Gatica J. In: Duma J.
Out: Gatica J.
63'
Sub
San Juan B. In: Saavedra Saavedra F. I.
Out: San Juan B.
66'
Sub
Vilches Araneda A. In: Ratotti F.
Out: Vilches Araneda A.

AI Match Summary

U. Espanola in this Liga de Ascenso matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored U. Espanola.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Cobreloa
30%
Draws
23%
U. Espanola
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cobreloa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Cobreloa have won more games recently than U. Espanola.
  • Cobreloa are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Cobreloa Clean Sheet 20%
U. Espanola Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cobreloa U. Espanola
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 10 8
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.64 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Cobreloa vs U. Espanola
0:1
Apr 11, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
U. Espanola vs Cobreloa
1:1
Aug 17, 2024 Liga de Primera
U. Espanola vs Cobreloa
3:0
Mar 16, 2024 Liga de Primera
Cobreloa vs U. Espanola
1:0
Mar 15, 2015 Liga de Primera
Cobreloa vs U. Espanola
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cobreloa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

U. Espanola Compare

Top Goalscorer Ratotti F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cobreloa 49 / 100
U. Espanola 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cobreloa U. Espanola

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cobreloa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cobreloa scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: U. Espanola conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

U. Espanola lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cobreloa VS U. Espanola
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cobreloa

(Home)
22 Sept
Cobreloa
1 : 2
Coquimbo
10 Sept
Antofagasta
0 : 0
Cobreloa
05 Sept
San Luis
4 : 2
Cobreloa
01 Sept
Cobreloa
2 : 0
San Marcos de Arica
22 Aug
Cobreloa
0 : 1
U. Espanola
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U. Espanola

(Away)
15 Sept
U. Espanola
1 : 1
Deportes Temuco
08 Sept
Curico Unido
2 : 1
U. Espanola
05 Sept
Deportes Santa Cruz
1 : 1
U. Espanola
29 Aug
U. Espanola
0 : 1
Rangers
27 Aug
Colo Colo
3 : 0
U. Espanola
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 S. Wanderers 24 12 8 4 40:25 44
2 Cobreloa 24 11 9 4 42:27 42
3 San Luis 24 11 8 5 38:29 41
4 Magallanes 25 11 7 7 41:38 40
5 Antofagasta 25 10 8 7 42:26 38
6 Recoleta 25 10 8 7 36:33 38
7 San Marcos de Arica 25 9 9 7 31:23 36
8 U. Espanola 25 10 6 9 32:32 36
9 D. Puerto Montt 25 10 4 11 26:31 34
10 Deportes Temuco 25 8 8 9 40:35 32
11 Copiapo 24 8 7 9 33:38 31
12 Deportes Iquique 25 6 10 9 33:30 28
13 Curico Unido 25 6 9 10 22:38 24
14 Deportes Santa Cruz 25 4 10 11 26:38 22
15 San Felipe 23 5 7 11 15:37 22
16 Rangers 25 4 6 15 23:40 18
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)