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Coburg vs Fortuna Regensburg

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

Coburg host Fortuna Regensburg in the Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Fortuna Regensburg have shipped 2 goals a game lately, while Coburg have conceded 2.88 and scored 1.5. Head-to-head, Coburg have won 2 to Fortuna Regensburg's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 24, 2026, ending 4:2. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 2.56, favoring Fortuna Regensburg. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Coburg
6%
Draws
90%
Fortuna Regensburg
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Fortuna Regensburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Fortuna Regensburg has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Coburg.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Fortuna Regensburg.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Coburg Clean Sheet 10%
Fortuna Regensburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coburg Fortuna Regensburg
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 2 9
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 1.5 2.25
Goals Conceded 2.88 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Fortuna Regensburg vs Coburg
4:2
Oct 11, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Coburg vs Fortuna Regensburg
4:2
Feb 24, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Coburg vs Fortuna Regensburg
3:3
Aug 18, 2023 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Fortuna Regensburg vs Coburg
2:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coburg 10 / 100
Fortuna Regensburg 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coburg Fortuna Regensburg

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coburg scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Fortuna Regensburg let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Coburg went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Fortuna Regensburg lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Coburg VS Fortuna Regensburg
1.5 Goals Scored 2.25
2.88 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Eltersdorf32212955:3065
2Cham32178758:3559
3ASV Neumarkt32185968:5059
4Gebenbach321651153:4753
5Bamberg321312754:3951
6Weiden321311857:3950
7Ingolstadt II321461264:5448
8Fortuna Regensburg321291166:5845
9Regensburg II321351459:5344
10Bayern Hof3211101156:5143
11Neudrossenfeld321251547:5441
12TSV Kornburg329131048:5040
13Wurzburger FV321071546:6237
14ATSV Erlangen321071543:6137
15Stadeln321121942:6535
16Coburg32932044:8130
17Grossschwarzenlohe32482035:6620