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Cockburn City vs Gwelup Croatia SC

Australia Australia

WA State League Dalmatinac Park
Sat, Jul 18, 2026
VS
07:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cockburn City host Gwelup Croatia SC in the WA State League. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Gwelup Croatia SC have shipped 2.25 goals a game lately, while Cockburn City have conceded 1.63 and scored 2. Head-to-head, Cockburn City have won 2 to Gwelup Croatia SC's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on May 6, 2026, ending 4:4. xG projections (2.13 - 1.19) back Cockburn City to edge this. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Cockburn City
39%
Draws
31%
Gwelup Croatia SC
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Cockburn City have won more games recently than Gwelup Croatia SC.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular WA State League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Cockburn City Clean Sheet 20%
Gwelup Croatia SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cockburn City Gwelup Croatia SC
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 4 9
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 2 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 WA State League
Gwelup Croatia SC vs Cockburn City
4:4
Aug 24, 2024 WA State League
Gwelup Croatia SC vs Cockburn City
1:3
Jun 8, 2024 WA State League
Cockburn City vs Gwelup Croatia SC
1:2
Jun 18, 2022 NPL Western Australia
Gwelup Croatia SC vs Cockburn City
0:1
May 25, 2022 NPL Western Australia
Cockburn City vs Gwelup Croatia SC
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cockburn City 31 / 100
Gwelup Croatia SC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cockburn City Gwelup Croatia SC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cockburn City found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Gwelup Croatia SC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Cockburn City has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cockburn City VS Gwelup Croatia SC
2 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Floreat Athena16113238:1636
2UWA Nedlands16112338:1935
3Mandurah City1692538:2829
4Joondalup City1691628:2328
5Kingsley Westside1681726:2225
6Inglewood Utd1673614:1724
7Quinns1663721:3121
8Cockburn City1654728:3319
9Gwelup Croatia SC1646623:3118
10Murdoch University Melville1637626:3116
11Subiaco16311226:3910
12Curtin University16231111:279