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Cockburn City vs Kalamunda City

Australia Australia

WA State League 2025 Sam Kerr Football Centre
Sat, Sep 20, 2025
2 - 1
07:15 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Roca N.
8' Event
Bowen M.
1' Event
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The WA State League 2025 game between Cockburn City and Kalamunda City finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cockburn City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Cockburn City
33%
Draws
27%
Kalamunda City
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Cockburn City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Cockburn City carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Cockburn City a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Cockburn City Clean Sheet 12%
Kalamunda City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cockburn City Kalamunda City
Matches Played 29 25
Wins 11 6
Draws 4 4
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.75 1
Goals Conceded 2.5 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2025 WA State League
Cockburn City vs Kalamunda City
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cockburn City Compare

Top Goalscorer Bowen M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Kalamunda City Compare

Top Goalscorer Roca N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cockburn City 38 / 100
Kalamunda City 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cockburn City Kalamunda City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kalamunda City has conceded goals in 80% of their last 25 outings.

Cockburn City found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Kalamunda City has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cockburn City VS Kalamunda City
1.75 Goals Scored 1
2.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Cockburn City4
East Perth2
Kalamunda City3
Forrestfield United2
Final
Cockburn City2
Kalamunda City1