Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cofutpa vs Santa Cruz Prediction & H2H Stats

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Munoz G.
28' Event
Fernandez N.
51' Event
Cortez A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Cofutpa
15%
Draws
36%
Santa Cruz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cofutpa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Santa Cruz average 1.26 goals a game right now, well clear of Cofutpa's 1.06.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Cofutpa Clean Sheet 16%
Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cofutpa Santa Cruz
Matches Played 31 27
Wins 7 7
Draws 7 7
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 1.06 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Cofutpa vs Santa Cruz
3:1
Aug 9, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Santa Cruz vs Cofutpa
3:1
Mar 11, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Cofutpa vs Santa Cruz
3:3
Jan 25, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Santa Cruz vs Cofutpa
4:1
Nov 6, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Santa Cruz vs Cofutpa
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cofutpa Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cortez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Santa Cruz Compare

Top Goalscorer Munoz G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rosales J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cofutpa 31 / 100
Santa Cruz 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cofutpa Santa Cruz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Cruz let in goals in 81% of their last 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Cofutpa scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Santa Cruz lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cofutpa VS Santa Cruz
0.63 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cofutpa

(Home)
27 Sept
Cofutpa
3 : 1
Santa Cruz
19 Sept
Cofutpa
1 : 2
AD Sarchi
12 Sept
AD Rosario
2 : 1
Cofutpa
08 Sept
Cofutpa
0 : 0
Grecia
30 Aug
Quepos FC
3 : 0
Cofutpa
Page 1 of 7

Santa Cruz

(Away)
27 Sept
Cofutpa
3 : 1
Santa Cruz
20 Sept
Santa Cruz
0 : 2
Quepos FC
13 Sept
Santa Cruz
4 : 0
AD Sarchi
30 Aug
Santa Cruz
1 : 2
AD Rosario
23 Aug
ADR Jicaral
4 : 1
Santa Cruz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADR Jicaral 14 9 3 2 25:12 30
2 Inter San Carlos 14 8 4 2 25:14 28
3 Quepos FC 14 9 1 4 30:21 28
4 Santa Cruz 14 4 5 5 19:17 17
5 Grecia 14 4 5 5 16:18 17
6 AD Sarchi 14 4 5 5 19:23 17
7 Cofutpa 14 2 4 8 14:27 10
8 Dep. Upala 14 0 5 9 15:31 5
9 Municipal Turrialba 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Escorpiones 14 10 2 2 33:10 32
2 CS Uruguay 14 7 2 5 25:20 23
3 Pitbulls 14 6 4 4 20:16 22
4 FC Moravia 14 5 4 5 19:19 19
5 Cariari Pococi 14 3 6 5 19:23 15
6 Aserri 14 2 8 4 15:28 14
7 Santa Ana 13 3 3 7 19:28 12
8 Carmelita 13 2 5 6 10:16 11
9 Limon Black Star 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)