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Coimbra Esporte Clube vs Essube

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Coimbra Esporte Clube play Essube in the Mineiro 3 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Coimbra Esporte Clube averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1 conceded. Essube averaged 1.35 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. In past meetings, Coimbra Esporte Clube won 1, Essube won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 22, 2025 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.92 for Coimbra Esporte Clube and 0.54 for Essube. This points to a Coimbra Esporte Clube double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Coimbra Esporte Clube
28%
Draws
25%
Essube
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Coimbra Esporte Clube

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Coimbra Esporte Clube picked up more points recently compared to Essube.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.92 vs 0.54 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Coimbra Esporte Clube Clean Sheet 30%
Essube Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coimbra Esporte Clube Essube
Matches Played 30 20
Wins 14 6
Draws 10 4
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.8 1.35
Goals Conceded 1 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.83

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 22, 2025 Mineiro 3
Coimbra Esporte Clube vs Essube
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coimbra Esporte Clube Compare

Top Goalscorer Miguel Silva
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marcelo Macola
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Essube Compare

Avg xG / game 0.3
Avg xA / game 0.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coimbra Esporte Clube 48 / 100
Essube 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coimbra Esporte Clube Essube

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Coimbra Esporte Clube or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20.3%
2.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.3%
2.86
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Coimbra Esporte Clube attacking → ← attacking Essube

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coimbra Esporte Clube scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Essube let in goals in 80% of their last 20 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Coimbra Esporte Clube went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Essube lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

52 Points in last 5 22
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.33
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.83

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Coimbra Esporte Clube541010:313
2Boa532011:411
3Paracatu52216:48
4Novo Esporte52125:57
5Tupi-MG51044:113
6Essube50051:100