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Coimbra Esporte Clube vs Inter de Minas

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Coimbra Esporte Clube play Inter de Minas in the Mineiro 3 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Coimbra Esporte Clube averaged 1.68 goals scored and 0.85 conceded. Inter de Minas averaged 1.53 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. In past meetings, Coimbra Esporte Clube won 2, Inter de Minas won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 7, 2025 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.21 for Coimbra Esporte Clube and 1.15 for Inter de Minas. This points to a Coimbra Esporte Clube double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Coimbra Esporte Clube
29%
Draws
33%
Inter de Minas
Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Coimbra Esporte Clube

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Coimbra Esporte Clube picked up more points recently compared to Inter de Minas.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.21 vs 1.15 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Coimbra Esporte Clube Clean Sheet 21%
Inter de Minas Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coimbra Esporte Clube Inter de Minas
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 16 13
Draws 12 7
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.68 1.53
Goals Conceded 0.85 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2025 Mineiro 3
Coimbra Esporte Clube vs Inter de Minas
0:2
Oct 15, 2023 Mineiro 3
Coimbra Esporte Clube vs Inter de Minas
3:1
Sep 14, 2023 Mineiro 3
Inter de Minas vs Coimbra Esporte Clube
0:0
Aug 5, 2022 Mineiro 3
Coimbra Esporte Clube vs Inter de Minas
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coimbra Esporte Clube 38 / 100
Inter de Minas 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coimbra Esporte Clube Inter de Minas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Coimbra Esporte Clube or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.7%
2.63
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Coimbra Esporte Clube attacking → ← attacking Inter de Minas

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coimbra Esporte Clube scored in 68% of their last 34 games.

Inter de Minas let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Coimbra Esporte Clube went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Inter de Minas lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

60 Points in last 5 46
2.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.67
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.67

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1America TO65108:216
2Valeriodoce64026:412
3Juventus Minasnovense62137:77
4Boston City60064:120
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Guarani-MG650110:215
2Pocos de Caldas63126:610
3Villa Real51131:44
4Tres Coracoes51042:73
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Contagem64115:213
2Coimbra Esporte Clube632113:311
3Inter de Minas63128:610
4Serranense60064:190
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Mamore862016:420
2Araxa842211:614
3Paracatu73139:810
4Nacional Uberaba71334:96
5Pirapora81073:163