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Coimbra Esporte Clube vs Ipatinga Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 2
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Diogo
Own Goal
4' Event
Serginho
9' Event
Ranisson

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 2 game between Coimbra Esporte Clube and Ipatinga finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Coimbra Esporte Clube.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Coimbra Esporte Clube
30%
Draws
31%
Ipatinga
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Coimbra Esporte Clube

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Coimbra Esporte Clube carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Coimbra Esporte Clube taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Coimbra Esporte Clube Clean Sheet 20%
Ipatinga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coimbra Esporte Clube Ipatinga
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 8
Draws 10 6
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.8 0.72
Goals Conceded 1 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Mineiro 2
Ipatinga vs Coimbra Esporte Clube
3:2
May 31, 2026 Mineiro 2
Coimbra Esporte Clube vs Ipatinga
4:0
May 20, 2022 Mineiro 2
Coimbra Esporte Clube vs Ipatinga
1:2
Mar 16, 2019 Mineiro 2
Coimbra Esporte Clube vs Ipatinga
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coimbra Esporte Clube Compare

Top Goalscorer Serginho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ranisson
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Ipatinga Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coimbra Esporte Clube 85 / 100
Ipatinga 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coimbra Esporte Clube Ipatinga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Coimbra Esporte Clube Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Coimbra Esporte Clube's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Ipatinga conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Coimbra Esporte Clube remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Coimbra Esporte Clube VS Ipatinga
1.5 Goals Scored 0.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 3.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Coimbra Esporte Clube

(Home)
11 Jul
Ipatinga
3 : 2
Coimbra Esporte Clube
05 Jul
Coimbra Esporte Clube
0 : 0
Valeriodoce
01 Jul
Coimbra Esporte Clube
2 : 1
Villa Nova AC
27 Jun
Democrata SL
1 : 0
Coimbra Esporte Clube
24 Jun
Coimbra Esporte Clube
0 : 0
Aymores
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Ipatinga

(Away)
11 Jul
Ipatinga
3 : 2
Coimbra Esporte Clube
04 Jul
Democrata SL
5 : 0
Ipatinga
01 Jul
Ipatinga
1 : 4
Aymores
27 Jun
Villa Nova AC
6 : 0
Ipatinga
23 Jun
Valeriodoce
1 : 1
Ipatinga
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uberaba 10 7 2 1 17:9 23
2 Boa 10 5 2 3 12:9 17
3 Mamore 10 3 3 4 8:9 12
4 Patrocinense 10 3 3 4 9:9 12
5 Guarani-MG 10 3 3 4 12:14 12
6 Caldense 10 1 3 6 6:14 6
Promotion - Mineiro 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2027 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valeriodoce 10 5 5 0 9:4 20
2 Democrata SL 10 5 2 3 19:10 17
3 Aymores 10 4 4 2 17:9 16
4 Villa Nova AC 10 4 2 4 17:12 14
5 Coimbra Esporte Clube 10 2 4 4 12:12 10
6 Ipatinga 10 1 1 8 6:33 -2
Promotion - Mineiro 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2027 (Main)