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Coimbra Esporte Clube vs Itabirito

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 3 2022 game between Coimbra Esporte Clube and Itabirito finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Coimbra Esporte Clube.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Coimbra Esporte Clube
39%
Draws
31%
Itabirito
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Coimbra Esporte Clube come out ahead of Itabirito on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Mineiro 3 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Coimbra Esporte Clube Clean Sheet 20%
Itabirito Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coimbra Esporte Clube Itabirito
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 16 5
Draws 12 10
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.88 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2022 Mineiro 3
Itabirito vs Coimbra Esporte Clube
2:2
Oct 21, 2022 Mineiro 3
Coimbra Esporte Clube vs Itabirito
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coimbra Esporte Clube 31 / 100
Itabirito 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coimbra Esporte Clube Itabirito

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Coimbra Esporte Clube scored in 69% of their last 35 outings.

Defensive concern: Itabirito conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Coimbra Esporte Clube stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Coimbra Esporte Clube VS Itabirito
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Tres Coracoes0
America TO5
TBD-
Valeriodoce-
Santarritense2
Novo Esporte5
TBD-
North Esporte Clube-
Nacional Uberaba0
Villa Real2
TBD-
Itabirito-
Mamore1
Coimbra Esporte Clube1
TBD-
Araxa-
Quarter-finals
America TO1
Valeriodoce1
Novo Esporte2
North Esporte Clube3
Villa Real1
Itabirito1
Coimbra Esporte Clube2
Araxa1
Semi-finals
Valeriodoce0
North Esporte Clube1
Itabirito3
Coimbra Esporte Clube5
Final
North Esporte Clube1
Coimbra Esporte Clube1