Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Coimbra Esporte Clube vs Tupi-MG

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Jeffao
39' Event
Mosquera J.
45' Event
Victor Hugo

AI Match Summary

Coimbra Esporte Clube play Tupi-MG in the Mineiro 3 2025. Coimbra Esporte Clube are favorites here. Recently, Coimbra Esporte Clube averaged 2 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. Tupi-MG averaged 1 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Coimbra Esporte Clube won 2, Tupi-MG won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Nov 2, 2025 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Coimbra Esporte Clube and 1.00 for Tupi-MG. This points to a Coimbra Esporte Clube double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Coimbra Esporte Clube
28%
Draws
22%
Tupi-MG
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Coimbra Esporte Clube

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Coimbra Esporte Clube has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Tupi-MG.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Coimbra Esporte Clube.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Mineiro 3 2025 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Coimbra Esporte Clube Clean Sheet 68%
Tupi-MG Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coimbra Esporte Clube Tupi-MG
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 8
Draws 10 8
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 2 1
Goals Conceded 0.75 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2025 Mineiro 3
Coimbra Esporte Clube vs Tupi-MG
3:1
Sep 20, 2025 Mineiro 3
Tupi-MG vs Coimbra Esporte Clube
2:2
Jun 11, 2022 Mineiro 2
Tupi-MG vs Coimbra Esporte Clube
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coimbra Esporte Clube Compare

Top Goalscorer Jeffao
1 Goals
Assists Leader Victor Hugo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Tupi-MG Compare

Top Goalscorer Mosquera J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coimbra Esporte Clube 59 / 100
Tupi-MG 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coimbra Esporte Clube Tupi-MG

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coimbra Esporte Clube scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Tupi-MG let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

Coimbra Esporte Clube went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Tupi-MG lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Coimbra Esporte Clube VS Tupi-MG
2 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 83%
50% Over 2.5 83%
38% Over 3.5 33%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Coimbra Esporte Clube541010:313
2Boa532011:411
3Paracatu52216:48
4Novo Esporte52125:57
5Tupi-MG51044:113
6Essube50051:100