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Colatina SE vs Aracruz Prediction & H2H Stats

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Campeonato Capixaba 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aracruz in this Campeonato Capixaba 2012 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aracruz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Colatina SE
35%
Draws
19%
Aracruz
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Colatina SE

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Aracruz have won more games recently than Colatina SE.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Colatina SE taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Capixaba 2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Colatina SE Clean Sheet 20%
Aracruz Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colatina SE Aracruz
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 14
Draws 11 9
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.17 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2012 Capixaba
Colatina SE vs Aracruz
2:3
Feb 29, 2012 Capixaba
Aracruz vs Colatina SE
2:2
Mar 21, 2011 Capixaba
Colatina SE vs Aracruz
2:2
Jan 31, 2011 Capixaba
Aracruz vs Colatina SE
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colatina SE 36 / 100
Aracruz 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colatina SE Aracruz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Colatina SE found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Aracruz has conceded goals in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Recent resilience: Colatina SE stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Colatina SE VS Aracruz
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Colatina SE

(Home)
10 May
Colatina SE
2 : 5
Linhares Futebol Clube
05 May
Estrela do Norte
3 : 0
Colatina SE
26 Apr
Colatina SE
4 : 2
Real Noroeste
18 Apr
Conilon
0 : 3
Colatina SE
14 Apr
Colatina SE
0 : 0
Desportiva Ferroviaria
Page 1 of 6

Aracruz

(Away)
24 Aug
Tupi-MG
2 : 1
Aracruz
10 Aug
Aracruz
0 : 0
Araxa
03 Aug
Resende
4 : 1
Aracruz
27 Jul
Aracruz
0 : 0
Nova Iguacu
20 Jul
Aracruz
0 : 0
Resende
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Branco ES 18 10 3 5 36:23 33
2 Aracruz 18 9 6 3 28:20 33
3 Vitoria ES 18 9 4 5 23:15 31
4 Conilon 18 8 6 4 40:23 30
5 Linhares Futebol Clube 18 9 3 6 27:19 30
6 SAO Mateus 18 8 2 8 17:23 26
7 Real Noroeste 18 6 4 8 21:23 22
8 Galatas 18 5 3 10 15:26 18
9 Colatina SE 18 3 8 7 21:27 17
10 Serra 18 3 1 14 20:49 10
Promotion - Campeonato Capixaba 2012 (Play Offs)