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Colatina SE vs SAO Mateus

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2011
Colatina SE Logo

Colatina SE

3 - 2
FT
SAO Mateus Logo

SAO Mateus

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Capixaba 2011 game between Colatina SE and SAO Mateus finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Colatina SE.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Colatina SE
15%
Draws
26%
SAO Mateus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Colatina SE

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Colatina SE haven't matched SAO Mateus's recent run of results.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Colatina SE taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Colatina SE Clean Sheet 20%
SAO Mateus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colatina SE SAO Mateus
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 5 12
Draws 11 6
Losses 14 22
Goals Scored 1.17 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2014 Capixaba
SAO Mateus vs Colatina SE
2:0
Jan 27, 2014 Capixaba
Colatina SE vs SAO Mateus
1:1
Mar 31, 2012 Capixaba
SAO Mateus vs Colatina SE
2:0
Feb 25, 2012 Capixaba
Colatina SE vs SAO Mateus
2:0
Apr 23, 2011 Capixaba
Colatina SE vs SAO Mateus
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colatina SE 85 / 100
SAO Mateus 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colatina SE SAO Mateus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colatina SE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colatina SE found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

SAO Mateus let in goals in 75% of their last 40 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Colatina SE remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS SAO Mateus
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Colatina SE

(Home)
10 May
Colatina SE
2 : 5
Linhares Futebol Clube
05 May
Estrela do Norte
3 : 0
Colatina SE
26 Apr
Colatina SE
4 : 2
Real Noroeste
18 Apr
Conilon
0 : 3
Colatina SE
14 Apr
Colatina SE
0 : 0
Desportiva Ferroviaria
Page 1 of 6

SAO Mateus

(Away)
26 Oct
CTE Colatina
0 : 3
SAO Mateus
19 Oct
SAO Mateus
0 : 6
Linhares Futebol Clube
16 Oct
Pinheiros
5 : 0
SAO Mateus
03 Oct
SAO Mateus
0 : 6
Vilavelhense
28 Sept
SAO Mateus
1 : 5
CTE Colatina
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Branco ES 14 8 3 3 23:21 27
2 Vitoria ES 14 7 2 5 22:13 23
3 SAO Mateus 14 6 4 4 28:19 22
4 Linhares Futebol Clube 14 7 1 6 24:22 22
5 Aracruz 14 6 6 2 23:15 18
6 Colatina SE 14 4 3 7 16:24 15
7 Galatas 14 3 5 6 18:29 14
8 Serra 14 1 4 9 12:23 7
Promotion - Campeonato Capixaba 2011 (Play Offs)