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Colatinense vs GEL

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2009
Colatinense Logo

Colatinense

0 - 4
FT
GEL Logo

GEL

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

GEL in this Campeonato Capixaba 2009 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored GEL.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Colatinense
30%
Draws
47%
GEL
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: GEL

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Colatinense have won more games recently than GEL.
  • GEL are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Campeonato Capixaba 2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Colatinense Clean Sheet 20%
GEL Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colatinense GEL
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 5
Draws 7 7
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 1.37 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.7 2.61
Expected Goals (xG) 2.35 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2009 Capixaba
GEL vs Colatinense
0:3
Jan 10, 2009 Capixaba
Colatinense vs GEL
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colatinense 24 / 100
GEL 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colatinense GEL

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

GEL let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Colatinense scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Colatinense has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS GEL
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 3.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Colatinense

(Home)
02 May
Jaguare
2 : 1
Colatinense
25 Apr
Colatinense
1 : 2
Vilavelhense
18 Apr
Rio Branco ES
0 : 0
Colatinense
11 Apr
Serra
1 : 3
Colatinense
04 Apr
Colatinense
0 : 1
Linhares Futebol Clube
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GEL

(Away)
18 Aug
Doze Futebol Clube
1 : 2
GEL
14 Aug
GEL
6 : 0
CTE Colatina
01 Aug
Audax Sao Mateus
0 : 0
GEL
28 Jul
GEL
0 : 4
Linhares Futebol Clube
23 Jul
GEL
0 : 0
Doze Futebol Clube
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SAO Mateus 18 11 3 4 28:21 36
2 Rio Branco ES 18 8 7 3 35:21 31
3 Jaguare 18 9 3 6 30:25 30
4 Vilavelhense 18 8 4 6 29:27 28
5 Linhares Futebol Clube 18 8 3 7 18:19 27
6 Desportiva Ferroviaria 18 6 4 8 26:24 22
7 Rio Bananal FC 18 6 3 9 22:26 21
8 GEL 18 6 2 10 24:33 20
9 Serra 18 5 4 9 32:39 19
10 Colatinense 18 5 3 10 25:34 18
Promotion - Campeonato Capixaba 2009 (Play Offs)