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Colatinense vs Jaguare

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2008
Colatinense Logo

Colatinense

2 - 0
FT
Jaguare Logo

Jaguare

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Capixaba 2008 game between Colatinense and Jaguare finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Colatinense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Colatinense
20%
Draws
40%
Jaguare
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jaguare come out ahead of Colatinense on wins alone.
  • Model gives Colatinense a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato Capixaba 2008 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Colatinense have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Colatinense Clean Sheet 20%
Jaguare Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colatinense Jaguare
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 9 11
Draws 7 12
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.37 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2009 Capixaba
Jaguare vs Colatinense
2:1
Mar 7, 2009 Capixaba
Colatinense vs Jaguare
4:2
Mar 30, 2008 Capixaba
Jaguare vs Colatinense
1:2
Feb 18, 2008 Capixaba
Colatinense vs Jaguare
2:0
Mar 17, 2007 Capixaba
Colatinense vs Jaguare
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colatinense 67 / 100
Jaguare 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colatinense Jaguare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colatinense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Colatinense scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Jaguare's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 34 matches.

Jaguare's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Jaguare
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Colatinense

(Home)
02 May
Jaguare
2 : 1
Colatinense
25 Apr
Colatinense
1 : 2
Vilavelhense
18 Apr
Rio Branco ES
0 : 0
Colatinense
11 Apr
Serra
1 : 3
Colatinense
04 Apr
Colatinense
0 : 1
Linhares Futebol Clube
Page 1 of 6

Jaguare

(Away)
23 Feb
Rio Branco ES
3 : 0
Jaguare
18 Feb
Jaguare
1 : 0
Vitoria ES
11 Feb
Real Noroeste
1 : 1
Jaguare
08 Feb
Jaguare
0 : 2
Rio Branco-VN
05 Feb
Porto Vitoria
3 : 1
Jaguare
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Linhares Futebol Clube 18 11 5 2 23:10 38
2 Serra 18 10 5 3 27:21 35
3 Jaguare 18 8 6 4 37:26 30
4 Rio Bananal FC 18 8 5 5 34:20 29
5 Vilavelhense 18 7 4 7 28:26 25
6 Colatinense 18 7 4 7 23:30 25
7 Rio Branco ES 18 6 3 9 22:27 21
8 Desportiva Ferroviaria 18 6 2 10 30:28 20
9 Pinheiros 18 3 7 8 25:35 16
10 CTE Colatina 18 2 3 13 25:51 9
Promotion - Campeonato Capixaba 2008 (Play Offs)