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Colchester U21 vs Barnsley U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Professional Development League
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Reid O.
4' Event
Willis N.
10' Event
Akande A.

AI Match Summary

Barnsley U21 in this Professional Development League matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Barnsley U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Colchester U21
15%
Draws
12%
Barnsley U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Colchester U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Colchester U21 haven't matched Barnsley U21's recent run of results.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Colchester U21 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Colchester U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Barnsley U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colchester U21 Barnsley U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.8 1.87
Goals Conceded 2.73 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2026 Professional Development League
Colchester U21 vs Barnsley U21
3:4
Apr 10, 2026 Professional Development League
Barnsley U21 vs Colchester U21
4:0
Aug 9, 2024 Professional Development League
Colchester U21 vs Barnsley U21
1:3
Aug 21, 2023 Professional Development League
Colchester U21 vs Barnsley U21
3:2
Apr 4, 2023 Professional Development League
Colchester U21 vs Barnsley U21
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colchester U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Akande A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Faux A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Barnsley U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Reid O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Willis N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colchester U21 83 / 100
Barnsley U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colchester U21 Barnsley U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colchester U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barnsley U21 has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Attacking prowess: Colchester U21 scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Barnsley U21 has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Colchester U21 VS Barnsley U21
2 Goals Scored 1.63
3.38 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Colchester U21

(Home)
27 Oct
Colchester U21
5 : 1
QPR U21
06 Oct
Colchester U21
1 : 2
Swansea U21
29 Sept
Coventry U21
1 : 0
Colchester U21
25 Sept
Colchester U21
2 : 1
Sheffield Wed U21
15 Sept
Wigan U21
6 : 4
Colchester U21
Page 1 of 6

Barnsley U21

(Away)
26 Oct
Barnsley U21
3 : 6
Peterborough U21
20 Oct
Fleetwood Town U21
2 : 2
Barnsley U21
09 Oct
Barnsley U21
0 : 2
Hull City U21
25 Sept
Barnsley U21
0 : 2
Sheffield Utd U21
15 Sept
Coventry U21
5 : 3
Barnsley U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bolton U21 9 7 0 2 24:12 21
2 Fleetwood Town U21 9 6 1 2 13:13 19
3 Swansea U21 9 5 0 4 16:14 15
4 Coventry U21 8 4 2 2 19:13 14
5 Cardiff U21 8 3 4 1 20:11 13
6 Sheffield Utd U21 8 4 1 3 13:8 13
7 Huddersfield U21 6 4 0 2 19:11 12
8 Bristol City U21 8 3 3 2 19:15 12
9 Peterborough U21 8 3 2 3 16:21 11
10 Wigan U21 9 2 4 3 20:25 10
11 Colchester U21 8 3 0 5 19:22 9
12 Charlton U21 9 2 3 4 16:19 9
13 Barnsley U21 8 2 2 4 16:23 8
14 QPR U21 10 2 2 6 17:28 8
15 Sheffield Wed U21 8 1 4 3 13:16 7
16 Hull City U21 6 1 2 3 9:13 5
17 Millwall U21 5 1 0 4 5:10 3
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