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Colchester U21 vs Norwich U21

England England

Premier League Cup 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Lisbie K.
Assist: Connolly K.
19' Event
Oni M.
49' Event
Welch F.
Assist: Ameen B.

AI Match Summary

Norwich U21 in this Premier League Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Colchester U21
15%
Draws
65%
Norwich U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Norwich U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Norwich U21 have won more games recently than Colchester U21.
  • Model gives Norwich U21 a 65% chance of winning this.
  • Norwich U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Norwich U21, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Colchester U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Norwich U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colchester U21 Norwich U21
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 10
Draws 5 7
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 1.7 1.5
Goals Conceded 3 1.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.41 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 2, 2025 Premier League Cup
Colchester U21 vs Norwich U21
3:4
Sep 12, 2025 Premier League Cup
Norwich U21 vs Colchester U21
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colchester U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lisbie K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Oni M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.7

Norwich U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Chilvers T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Welch F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colchester U21 14 / 100
Norwich U21 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colchester U21 Norwich U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Norwich U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Norwich U21 has conceded goals in 88% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Colchester U21 scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Colchester U21 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Colchester U21 VS Norwich U21
1.57 Goals Scored 1.63
3 Goals Conceded 1.25
71% Over 1.5 75%
71% Over 2.5 63%
71% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Colchester U21

(Home)
15 Sept
Wigan U21
6 : 4
Colchester U21
01 Sept
Colchester U21
3 : 4
Barnsley U21
25 Aug
Bolton U21
7 : 0
Colchester U21
14 Aug
Fleetwood Town U21
0 : 4
Colchester U21
25 Jul
Braintree
4 : 0
Colchester U21
Page 1 of 6

Norwich U21

(Away)
18 Sept
Sunderland U21
3 : 1
Norwich U21
11 Sept
Norwich U21
4 : 2
Birmingham U21
08 Sept
Worthing FC
0 : 1
Norwich U21
28 Aug
Norwich U21
0 : 0
Stoke City U21
23 Aug
Middlesbrough U21
0 : 1
Norwich U21
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Reading U21 6 5 0 1 10:3 15
2 Bournemouth U21 6 3 2 1 15:10 11
3 Hull City U21 6 2 0 4 12:12 6
4 Birmingham U21 6 0 2 4 5:17 2
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheffield Utd U21 6 6 0 0 14:7 18
2 Stoke City U21 6 1 3 2 10:12 6
3 Derby U21 6 1 2 3 15:12 5
4 Bristol City U21 6 1 1 4 10:18 4
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ipswich U21 6 4 1 1 12:4 13
2 Charlton U21 6 3 1 2 9:14 10
3 Leicester U21 6 2 0 4 11:9 6
4 Preston U21 6 1 2 3 6:11 5
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Watford U21 6 3 1 2 12:10 10
2 Blackburn U21 6 2 2 2 10:8 8
3 Leyton Orient U21 6 2 2 2 11:12 8
4 Coventry U21 6 1 3 2 7:10 6
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Brom U21 6 4 1 1 13:10 13
2 Brentford U21 6 4 0 2 16:5 12
3 Exeter U21 6 2 1 3 4:7 7
4 Luton U21 6 1 0 5 8:19 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burnley U21 6 4 0 2 11:10 12
2 QPR U21 6 3 1 2 11:9 10
3 Cardiff U21 6 2 1 3 15:12 7
4 Stockport U21 6 2 0 4 11:17 6
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nottingham U21 6 5 1 0 10:3 16
2 Swansea U21 6 3 1 2 14:9 10
3 Wolves U21 6 2 1 3 9:11 7
4 Millwall U21 6 0 1 5 7:17 1
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colchester U21 6 3 1 2 15:12 10
2 Sunderland U21 6 3 1 2 13:10 10
3 Bromley U21 6 3 0 3 7:11 9
4 Norwich U21 6 1 2 3 10:12 5
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)