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Stadium Background

Colchester U23 vs Cardiff U23 Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

Professional Development League 2021/2022 Colchester Community Stadium (JobServe), Colchester
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
King E.
82' Event
Cooper C.
(Penalty)
83'
Davies T.

AI Match Summary

The Professional Development League 2021/2022 game between Colchester U23 and Cardiff U23 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Colchester U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Colchester U23
15%
Draws
59%
Cardiff U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cardiff U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cardiff U23 come out ahead of Colchester U23 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Colchester U23's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Colchester U23 Clean Sheet 12%
Cardiff U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colchester U23 Cardiff U23
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 17
Draws 7 3
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.41 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.81 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2022 Professional Development League
Colchester U23 vs Cardiff U23
2:1
Nov 30, 2021 Professional Development League
Cardiff U23 vs Colchester U23
2:0
Feb 9, 2021 Professional Development League
Cardiff U23 vs Colchester U23
4:1
Nov 28, 2020 Professional Development League
Colchester U23 vs Cardiff U23
2:0
Jan 13, 2020 Professional Development League
Cardiff U23 vs Colchester U23
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colchester U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Thomas D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Cardiff U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer King E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colchester U23 40 / 100
Cardiff U23 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colchester U23 Cardiff U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colchester U23's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Cardiff U23 has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Colchester U23 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Colchester U23 VS Cardiff U23
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Colchester U23

(Home)
03 May
Colchester U23
2 : 2
Peterborough U23
29 Apr
Millwall U23
2 : 3
Colchester U23
25 Apr
Swansea U23
4 : 2
Colchester U23
19 Apr
Colchester U23
0 : 3
Bristol City U23
15 Apr
Colchester U23
2 : 3
QPR U23
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Cardiff U23

(Away)
03 May
Cardiff U23
2 : 1
Crewe U23
25 Apr
Coventry U23
1 : 2
Cardiff U23
19 Apr
Charlton U23
6 : 1
Cardiff U23
11 Apr
Hull City U23
3 : 0
Cardiff U23
05 Apr
Cardiff U23
2 : 0
Barnsley U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheffield Utd U23 23 15 3 5 47:23 48
2 Coventry U23 23 13 4 6 57:39 43
3 Hull City U23 23 12 4 7 44:41 40
4 Wigan U23 23 7 4 12 31:39 25
5 Crewe U23 23 7 2 14 27:50 23
6 Peterborough U23 23 5 7 11 36:41 22
7 Barnsley U23 23 5 7 11 22:42 22
8 Sheffield Wed U23 23 4 8 11 21:32 20
Promotion - Professional Development League 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ipswich U23 24 16 3 5 58:27 51
2 Bristol City U23 24 15 5 4 60:31 50
3 Cardiff U23 24 15 2 7 44:30 47
4 Charlton U23 24 10 6 8 55:46 36
5 Millwall U23 24 9 3 12 34:45 30
6 Colchester U23 24 8 5 11 35:44 29
7 Watford U23 24 6 7 11 28:43 25
8 Swansea U23 24 5 9 10 34:41 24
9 QPR U23 24 7 3 14 34:53 24
Promotion - Professional Development League 2021/2022 (Play Offs)