Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Colchester U23 vs Millwall U23

England England

Professional Development League 2021/2022 Colchester Community Stadium (JobServe), Colchester
Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event
Redgrave K.
90' Event
Stagg T.

AI Match Summary

Colchester U23 in this Professional Development League 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Colchester U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Colchester U23
20%
Draws
51%
Millwall U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Millwall U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Millwall U23 have won more games recently than Colchester U23.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Colchester U23 taking it.
  • Regular Professional Development League 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Colchester U23 Clean Sheet 15%
Millwall U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colchester U23 Millwall U23
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 7 3
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.39 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.81 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2022 Professional Development League
Millwall U23 vs Colchester U23
2:3
Nov 8, 2021 Professional Development League
Colchester U23 vs Millwall U23
2:0
Mar 26, 2021 Professional Development League
Colchester U23 vs Millwall U23
2:3
Dec 15, 2020 Professional Development League
Millwall U23 vs Colchester U23
6:1
Jan 7, 2020 Professional Development League
Millwall U23 vs Colchester U23
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colchester U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Redgrave K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stagg T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Millwall U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colchester U23 35 / 100
Millwall U23 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colchester U23 Millwall U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Millwall U23 has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Colchester U23's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Solid form: Colchester U23 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Colchester U23 VS Millwall U23
1.13 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Colchester U23

(Home)
03 May
Colchester U23
2 : 2
Peterborough U23
29 Apr
Millwall U23
2 : 3
Colchester U23
25 Apr
Swansea U23
4 : 2
Colchester U23
19 Apr
Colchester U23
0 : 3
Bristol City U23
15 Apr
Colchester U23
2 : 3
QPR U23
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Millwall U23

(Away)
03 May
Millwall U23
2 : 1
Sheffield Wed U23
29 Apr
Millwall U23
2 : 3
Colchester U23
26 Apr
Sheffield Utd U23
1 : 1
Millwall U23
01 Apr
Millwall U23
1 : 0
Peterborough U23
21 Mar
Wigan U23
3 : 1
Millwall U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheffield Utd U23 23 15 3 5 47:23 48
2 Coventry U23 23 13 4 6 57:39 43
3 Hull City U23 23 12 4 7 44:41 40
4 Wigan U23 23 7 4 12 31:39 25
5 Crewe U23 23 7 2 14 27:50 23
6 Peterborough U23 23 5 7 11 36:41 22
7 Barnsley U23 23 5 7 11 22:42 22
8 Sheffield Wed U23 23 4 8 11 21:32 20
Promotion - Professional Development League 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ipswich U23 24 16 3 5 58:27 51
2 Bristol City U23 24 15 5 4 60:31 50
3 Cardiff U23 24 15 2 7 44:30 47
4 Charlton U23 24 10 6 8 55:46 36
5 Millwall U23 24 9 3 12 34:45 30
6 Colchester U23 24 8 5 11 35:44 29
7 Watford U23 24 6 7 11 28:43 25
8 Swansea U23 24 5 9 10 34:41 24
9 QPR U23 24 7 3 14 34:53 24
Promotion - Professional Development League 2021/2022 (Play Offs)