Sport Picks
Colchester vs Crewe Prediction & H2H Stats
England
League Two Colchester Community Stadium (JobServe), Colchester 
Match Events
27'
27'
Anderson H.
Assist: Thorn O.
46'
46'
Agius C.
54'
54'
Sub
Gibson J. In: Thibaut A.
Out: Gibson J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
35%
45%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Crewe
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Crewe have won more games recently than Colchester.
- 45% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Colchester Clean Sheet 15%
Crewe Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Colchester | Crewe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 8 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 12 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.29 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.22 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 League Two
Colchester vs Crewe
1:1
Jan 31, 2026 League Two
Crewe vs Colchester
1:0
Sep 6, 2025 League Two
Colchester vs Crewe
1:1
Apr 18, 2025 League Two
Colchester vs Crewe
0:0
Dec 20, 2024 League Two
Crewe vs Colchester
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Colchester Compare
Top Goalscorer Anderson H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Crewe Compare
Top Goalscorer Stephenson J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Colchester 35 / 100
Crewe 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Colchester Crewe
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Crewe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Colchester scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.
Defensive concern: Crewe conceded in 70% of 27 recent games.
Solid form: Colchester remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Colchester VS Crewe
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Colchester
(Home) 26 Sept
Shrewsbury
2 : 2 Colchester
22 Sept
Peterborough
3 : 1 Colchester
19 Sept
Colchester
1 : 1 Cheltenham
12 Sept
Colchester
1 : 1 Crewe
05 Sept
Swindon
3 : 1 Colchester
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Colchester
1 : 1 Cheltenham
12 Sept
Colchester
1 : 1 Crewe
29 Aug
Colchester
1 : 0 Rochdale
22 Aug
Colchester
2 : 1 Oldham
08 Aug
Colchester
0 : 2 Southampton
Page 1 of 3
Crewe
(Away) 26 Sept
Rotherham
1 : 1 Crewe
22 Sept
Crewe
4 : 1 Aston Villa U21
19 Sept
Crewe
1 : 1 Shrewsbury
12 Sept
Colchester
1 : 1 Crewe
05 Sept
Crewe
1 : 1 York City
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Rotherham
1 : 1 Crewe
12 Sept
Colchester
1 : 1 Crewe
29 Aug
Port Vale
0 : 0 Crewe
25 Aug
Barnsley
3 : 2 Crewe
15 Aug
Crawley Town
0 : 1 Crewe
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barnet | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17:10 | 15 |
| 2 | Cheltenham | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16:12 | 15 |
| 3 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 13:11 | 15 |
| 4 | York City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:10 | 14 |
| 5 | Walsall | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 11:5 | 14 |
| 6 | Grimsby | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12:8 | 13 |
| 7 | Salford | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:10 | 13 |
| 8 | Gillingham | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 12 |
| 9 | Crewe | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 8:6 | 12 |
| 10 | Tranmere | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 10:8 | 11 |
| 11 | Chesterfield | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 12 | Swindon | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | 11 |
| 13 | Rotherham | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11:11 | 10 |
| 14 | Fleetwood Town | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:9 | 10 |
| 15 | Colchester | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:12 | 10 |
| 16 | Rochdale | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | 10 |
| 17 | Newport | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:12 | 9 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:13 | 8 |
| 19 | Accrington | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11:14 | 7 |
| 20 | Oldham | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:13 | 7 |
| 21 | Exeter | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4:6 | 6 |
| 22 | Northampton | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3:6 | 6 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:9 | 5 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | 4 |
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
