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Stadium Background

Colchester vs Walsall - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

League Two Colchester Community Stadium (JobServe), Colchester
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Skura D.
Assist: Smith R.
34'
Ahui E.
35' Event
Payne J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The League Two game between Colchester and Walsall finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Walsall.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Colchester
15%
Draws
39%
Walsall
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Colchester

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Recent numbers put Colchester and Walsall close enough that form isn't the deciding factor here.
  • Walsall are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Colchester Clean Sheet 14%
Walsall Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colchester Walsall
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 8 10
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.21 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2026 League Two
Colchester vs Walsall
1:3
Mar 28, 2026 League Two
Colchester vs Walsall
1:1
Nov 15, 2025 League Two
Walsall vs Colchester
0:2
Feb 8, 2025 League Two
Colchester vs Walsall
2:1
Sep 28, 2024 League Two
Walsall vs Colchester
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colchester Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Walsall Compare

Top Goalscorer Skura D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pressley A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colchester 19 / 100
Walsall 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colchester Walsall

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Walsall Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:6
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colchester scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Walsall has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Colchester stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Colchester VS Walsall
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Colchester

(Home)
10 Nov
Colchester
1 : 0
Ipswich U21
07 Nov
Colchester
1 : 0
Worcester
31 Oct
Colchester
1 : 3
Walsall
24 Oct
Northampton
2 : 0
Colchester
20 Oct
Chesterfield
1 : 1
Colchester
Page 1 of 6

Walsall

(Away)
10 Nov
Leicester
2 : 1
Walsall
07 Nov
Newport
3 : 1
Walsall
31 Oct
Colchester
1 : 3
Walsall
26 Oct
Walsall
2 : 4
Salford
20 Oct
Walsall
3 : 0
Oldham
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salford 14 10 1 3 25:15 31
2 Barnet 13 7 5 1 28:18 26
3 Walsall 13 5 7 1 21:12 22
4 Crewe 14 5 7 2 17:17 22
5 Cheltenham 14 6 3 5 23:25 21
6 Grimsby 14 5 5 4 24:18 20
7 York City 14 5 5 4 24:21 20
8 Gillingham 14 5 5 4 20:19 20
9 Accrington 14 4 7 3 23:17 19
10 Chesterfield 14 5 4 5 24:21 19
11 Tranmere 14 4 7 3 19:17 19
12 Exeter 14 5 4 5 11:9 19
13 Swindon 14 5 4 5 15:17 19
14 Newport 14 4 6 4 20:17 18
15 Shrewsbury 14 5 3 6 17:22 18
16 Fleetwood Town 14 4 5 5 18:18 17
17 Bristol Rovers 14 5 1 8 17:23 16
18 Oldham 14 4 3 7 15:19 15
19 Port Vale 12 4 3 5 10:14 15
20 Rochdale 14 4 3 7 17:26 15
21 Northampton 13 3 5 5 9:10 14
22 Rotherham 14 2 6 6 18:25 12
23 Colchester 13 2 6 5 12:19 12
24 Crawley Town 12 2 3 7 13:21 9
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)