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Colchester vs West Ham U21

England England

EFL Trophy 2025/2026 Colchester Community Stadium (JobServe), Colchester
Colchester Logo

Colchester

0 - 1
FT
West Ham U21 Logo

West Ham U21

Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Earthy G.
Assist: Adiele E.
38'
Harvey R.
59'
Sub
Gape D. In: Read A.
Out: Gape D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with West Ham U21 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Colchester
20%
Draws
70%
West Ham U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: West Ham U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and West Ham U21 come out ahead of Colchester on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • West Ham U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor West Ham U21, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Colchester Clean Sheet 20%
West Ham U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colchester West Ham U21
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 11 14
Draws 5 5
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.23 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 Club Friendly
Colchester vs West Ham U21
2:2
Dec 9, 2025 EFL Trophy
Colchester vs West Ham U21
0:1
Dec 5, 2023 EFL Trophy
Colchester vs West Ham U21
0:4
Jul 28, 2023 Club Friendly
Colchester vs West Ham U21
0:1
Sep 28, 2021 EFL Trophy
Colchester vs West Ham U21
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colchester Compare

Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

West Ham U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Earthy G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colchester 32 / 100
West Ham U21 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colchester West Ham U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WES Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

West Ham U21 let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Colchester's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Colchester went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Colchester VS West Ham U21
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.83
50% Over 1.5 83%
50% Over 2.5 83%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Colchester

(Home)
08 Aug
Colchester
0 : 2
Southampton
01 Aug
Stevenage
1 : 0
Colchester
28 Jul
Colchester
0 : 2
Charlton
24 Jul
Colchester
2 : 2
West Ham U21
21 Jul
Colchester
2 : 3
Peterborough
Page 1 of 7

West Ham U21

(Away)
24 Jul
Colchester
2 : 2
West Ham U21
21 Jul
Ebbsfleet
1 : 2
West Ham U21
04 May
Brighton U21
3 : 0
West Ham U21
24 Apr
Fulham U21
2 : 3
West Ham U21
04 Apr
Tottenham U21
3 : 2
West Ham U21
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Lincoln City 0
Huddersfield 2
Salford 2
Rotherham 7
Doncaster 5
Chesterfield 1
Tranmere 0
Fleetwood Town 3
Bolton 3
Bradford City 0
Port Vale 5
Barnsley 0
Crewe 1
Stockport County 2
Harrogate 4
Blackpool 2
Luton 4
Exeter 0
Swindon 1
Peterborough 0
Bristol Rovers 3
Cambridge Utd 2
Leyton Orient 0
Plymouth 1
Cardiff 1
AFC Wimbledon 5
Colchester 0
West Ham U21 1
Northampton 2
Wycombe 0
Stevenage 1
Walsall 2
1/8-finals
Huddersfield 3
Rotherham 0
Doncaster 3
Fleetwood Town 1
Bolton 0
Port Vale 1
Stockport County 2
Harrogate 1
Luton 1
Swindon 2
Bristol Rovers 3
Plymouth 4
AFC Wimbledon 4
West Ham U21 2
Northampton 4
Walsall 2
Quarter-finals
Huddersfield 1
Doncaster 2
Port Vale 0
Stockport County 4
Luton 2
Plymouth 1
AFC Wimbledon 1
Northampton 2
Semi-finals
Doncaster 0
Stockport County 1
Luton 2
Northampton 1
Final
Stockport County 1
Luton 3