Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Colchester vs Worcester - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

FA Cup Colchester Community Stadium (JobServe), Colchester
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Wise C.
32' Event
Williams J.
62'
Sub
Williams J. In: Perry B.
Out: Williams J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Colchester
15%
Draws
54%
Worcester
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Worcester

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Colchester haven't matched Worcester's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Worcester a 54% chance of winning this.
  • Worcester arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Colchester, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Colchester Clean Sheet 16%
Worcester Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colchester Worcester
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 8 9
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.21 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 7, 2026 FA Cup
Colchester vs Worcester
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colchester Compare

Top Goalscorer Williams J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Worcester Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colchester 15 / 100
Worcester 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colchester Worcester

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Worcester Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Colchester scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Worcester conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Colchester has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Colchester VS Worcester
0.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Colchester

(Home)
10 Nov
Colchester
1 : 0
Ipswich U21
07 Nov
Colchester
1 : 0
Worcester
31 Oct
Colchester
1 : 3
Walsall
24 Oct
Northampton
2 : 0
Colchester
20 Oct
Chesterfield
1 : 1
Colchester
Page 1 of 6

Worcester

(Away)
10 Nov
Worcester
2 : 1
Racing Club Warwick
07 Nov
Colchester
1 : 0
Worcester
31 Oct
Worcester
4 : 1
Real Bedford
27 Oct
Banbury
0 : 3
Worcester
20 Oct
Worcester
1 : 0
Chorley
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Port Vale 4
Scunthorpe 2
Leyton Orient 5
Harborough 1
Stafford 3
Grimsby 4
Oldham 2
Sheffield Wed 1
Dover Ath. 2
Wealdstone 0
Oxford City 2
Leicester 4
Boreham Wood 0
Wigan 3
Barnsley 7
Aldershot 2
Harrogate 1
AFC Fylde 4
Luton 2
Forest Green 0
Eastleigh 1
Shrewsbury 2
Burton 4
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 0
Fleetwood Town 1
Rochdale 2
Newport 3
Walsall 1
Cheltenham 2
Halifax 0
Chesterfield 4
Yeovil 3
Plymouth Parkway 2
Berkhamsted Town 1
Barnet 3
Tranmere 0
Wimborne 2
Crawley Town 0
Bradford City 7
Marine 0
Salisbury 6
Sholing 0
Hornchurch 1
Blackpool 2
Gillingham 0
Barrow 1
Kidderminster 3
Doncaster 0
Bromley 0
Rotherham 2
Bristol Rovers 2
Cambridge Utd 0
Crewe 2
AFC Wimbledon 1
Plymouth 4
Alvechurch 0
Peterborough 0
Reading 5
Cray Wanderers 2
Stockport County 3
Accrington 0
Wycombe 2
Milton Keynes Dons 2
Swindon 1
Colchester 1
Worcester 0
Mansfield 3
Macclesfield 0
Guiseley 1
Sutton 0
Altrincham 2
Notts County 3
York City 4
Northampton 0
Carlisle 1
Salford 0
Huddersfield 1
Exeter 2
Oxford Utd 0
Stevenage 1
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Final
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