Sport Picks

Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio de Colegiales

Atletico Atlanta

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Colegiales play Atletico Atlanta in the Primera Nacional. It looks like a close match. Recently, Colegiales averaged 1.03 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. Atletico Atlanta averaged 1.07 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. In past meetings, Colegiales won 2, Atletico Atlanta won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 22, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Colegiales and 1.19 for Atletico Atlanta. This points to a Atletico Atlanta double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%

Colegiales

22%

Draws

40%

Atletico Atlanta

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Atletico Atlanta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Colegiales picked up more points recently compared to Atletico Atlanta.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 1.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 59%

Over 2.5 Goals 35%

Over 3.5 Goals 21%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%

Colegiales Clean Sheet 20%

Atletico Atlanta Clean Sheet 17%

First Half Goal 53%

Second Half Goal 56%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Colegiales	Atletico Atlanta
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	11	13
Draws	7	6
Losses	11	10
Goals Scored	1.03	1.07
Goals Conceded	0.9	0.93
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Primera Nacional

Colegiales vs Atletico Atlanta

Possession: 59% - 58% Cards: 4 - 4

1:0

Jul 12, 2025 Primera Nacional

Colegiales vs Atletico Atlanta

Possession: 56% - 56% Cards: 1 - 3

2:0

Mar 11, 2025 Primera Nacional

Atletico Atlanta vs Colegiales

Possession: 59% - 54% Cards: 2 - 3

1:0

May 4, 2019 Primera B

Atletico Atlanta vs Colegiales

Possession: 51% - 51% Cards: 4 - 3

3:0

Nov 27, 2018 Primera B

Colegiales vs Atletico Atlanta

Possession: 47% - 57% Cards: 1 - 2

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colegiales Compare

Top Goalscorer Hanashiro F.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Atletico Atlanta Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colegiales 38 / 100

Atletico Atlanta 39 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Colegiales Atletico Atlanta

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Atletico Atlanta or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26.5%

3.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +20.8%

3.45

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Colegiales attacking → ← attacking Atletico Atlanta

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colegiales scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Atletico Atlanta let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Colegiales went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Atletico Atlanta lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 45

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.75

0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ferro	19	11	4	4	22:14	37
2	Deportivo Moron	19	10	4	5	27:17	34
3	Colon Santa Fe	19	8	8	3	23:15	32
4	Ciudad Bolivar	19	7	9	3	18:13	30
5	Los Andes	19	7	8	4	16:7	29
6	Almirante Brown	19	8	5	6	14:12	29
7	Deportivo Madryn	19	7	7	5	25:20	28
8	CA Estudiantes	19	7	6	6	15:16	27
9	Godoy Cruz	19	6	7	6	19:17	25
10	San Miguel	19	5	10	4	17:20	25
11	Defensores de Belgrano	19	5	8	6	14:17	23
12	Racing Cordoba	19	5	6	8	17:22	21
13	San Telmo	19	4	8	7	15:18	20
14	All Boys	19	4	8	7	12:19	20
15	Central Norte	19	4	7	8	12:17	19
16	Acassuso	19	5	4	10	13:20	19
17	CA Mitre	19	3	9	7	19:24	18
18	Chaco For Ever	19	2	7	10	14:25	13

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gimnasia Jujuy	19	11	4	4	31:21	37
2	Atletico Atlanta	19	10	3	6	24:15	33
3	Tristan Suarez	19	7	9	3	16:11	30
4	Temperley	19	7	9	3	19:17	30
5	Midland	19	7	6	6	20:15	27
6	Atl. Rafaela	19	7	6	6	14:13	27
7	San Martin T.	19	6	8	5	16:15	26
8	Deportivo Maipu	19	7	4	8	24:20	25
9	Nueva Chicago	18	6	7	5	17:16	25
10	Almagro	19	7	4	8	16:19	25
11	Quilmes	19	6	6	7	18:15	24
12	Gimnasia y Tiro	19	6	6	7	18:20	24
13	Colegiales	19	6	5	8	18:19	23
14	San Martin S.J.	18	6	5	7	18:19	23
15	Chacarita Juniors	19	6	4	9	15:20	22
16	Patronato	19	4	9	6	12:16	21
17	Club Atletico Guemes	19	5	4	10	18:32	19
18	Agropecuario	19	4	6	9	14:24	18