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Colegiales vs Chacarita Juniors - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio de Colegiales, Buenos Aires
Colegiales Logo

Colegiales

2 - 1
FT
Chacarita Juniors Logo

Chacarita Juniors

Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Albertengo M.
Assist: Monserrat R. E.
37' Event
Guanca C.
Assist: Sanabria M.
40' Event
Ortiz L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between Colegiales and Chacarita Juniors finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Colegiales.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Colegiales
15%
Draws
34%
Chacarita Juniors
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Colegiales

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Colegiales come out ahead of Chacarita Juniors on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Colegiales taking it.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Chacarita Juniors here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.200000000000003%
Colegiales Clean Sheet 68%
Chacarita Juniors Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colegiales Chacarita Juniors
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 8
Draws 7 5
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.04 0.68
Goals Conceded 0.89 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Primera Nacional
Colegiales vs Chacarita Juniors
2:1
May 10, 2026 Primera Nacional
Chacarita Juniors vs Colegiales
2:0
Oct 13, 2014 Primera B
Chacarita Juniors vs Colegiales
2:1
Aug 21, 2014 Primera B
Colegiales vs Chacarita Juniors
0:1
Apr 16, 2014 Primera B
Chacarita Juniors vs Colegiales
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colegiales Compare

Top Goalscorer Albertengo M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ortiz L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Chacarita Juniors Compare

Top Goalscorer Guanca C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colegiales 50 / 100
Chacarita Juniors 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colegiales Chacarita Juniors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colegiales Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colegiales found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

Chacarita Juniors's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Colegiales went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Colegiales VS Chacarita Juniors
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Colegiales

(Home)
04 Oct
Club Atletico Guemes
0 : 1
Colegiales
26 Sept
Colegiales
2 : 1
Chacarita Juniors
20 Sept
San Martin S.J.
2 : 0
Colegiales
12 Sept
Colegiales
1 : 0
Nueva Chicago
06 Sept
Temperley
3 : 1
Colegiales
Page 1 of 6

Chacarita Juniors

(Away)
04 Oct
Chacarita Juniors
1 : 0
Patronato
26 Sept
Colegiales
2 : 1
Chacarita Juniors
20 Sept
Chacarita Juniors
3 : 0
Quilmes
13 Sept
Midland
1 : 0
Chacarita Juniors
05 Sept
Chacarita Juniors
0 : 1
Atletico Atlanta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 32 17 7 8 51:32 58
3 Godoy Cruz 32 16 8 8 42:29 56
4 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 32 14 10 8 39:25 52
6 Almirante Brown 32 12 10 10 25:21 46
7 CA Estudiantes 32 12 9 11 29:27 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 32 11 12 9 27:28 45
9 Los Andes 32 9 13 10 25:23 40
10 Chaco For Ever 32 9 10 13 30:33 37
11 Defensores de Belgrano 32 8 13 11 25:29 37
12 San Telmo 32 9 10 13 28:36 37
13 Racing Cordoba 32 9 10 13 29:39 37
14 CA Mitre 32 7 14 11 29:39 35
15 Central Norte 32 6 15 11 20:29 33
16 All Boys 32 6 15 11 18:28 33
17 San Miguel 32 6 13 13 25:38 31
18 Acassuso 32 7 8 17 22:35 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 33 15 14 4 32:15 59
2 Temperley 32 15 11 6 38:26 56
3 Atletico Atlanta 32 17 4 11 38:30 55
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 32 15 9 8 48:40 54
5 Midland 33 14 9 10 38:26 51
6 Gimnasia y Tiro 32 13 9 10 32:28 48
7 Deportivo Maipu 32 13 8 11 39:31 47
8 Colegiales 33 13 8 12 32:31 47
9 San Martin S.J. 32 12 9 11 34:32 45
10 San Martin T. 32 10 13 9 35:32 43
11 Atl. Rafaela 33 11 9 13 27:34 42
12 Almagro 33 11 8 14 30:39 41
13 Agropecuario 33 10 10 13 27:35 40
14 Quilmes 33 10 9 14 30:28 39
15 Nueva Chicago 32 9 9 14 23:30 36
16 Patronato 32 6 16 10 27:32 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 33 9 6 18 25:35 33
18 Club Atletico Guemes 32 5 8 19 23:54 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)