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Colegiales vs Club Atletico Guemes Prediction & H2H Stats

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio de Colegiales, Buenos Aires
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Gonzalez L.
34'
Zicarelli F.
43'
Godoy F.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between Colegiales and Club Atletico Guemes finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Colegiales.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Colegiales
15%
Draws
8%
Club Atletico Guemes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Colegiales

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Colegiales carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 77% — that's where the model lands on Colegiales taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Colegiales have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Colegiales Clean Sheet 68%
Club Atletico Guemes Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colegiales Club Atletico Guemes
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 4
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.04 0.71
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Primera Nacional
Colegiales vs Club Atletico Guemes
4:1
Aug 31, 2025 Primera Nacional
Club Atletico Guemes vs Colegiales
1:0
Apr 26, 2025 Primera Nacional
Colegiales vs Club Atletico Guemes
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colegiales Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Toloza N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Club Atletico Guemes Compare

Top Goalscorer Sala S. G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colegiales 86 / 100
Club Atletico Guemes 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colegiales Club Atletico Guemes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colegiales Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Club Atletico Guemes let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Colegiales's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Solid form: Colegiales remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Colegiales VS Club Atletico Guemes
1 Goals Scored 0.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Colegiales

(Home)
26 Sept
Colegiales
2 : 1
Chacarita Juniors
20 Sept
San Martin S.J.
2 : 0
Colegiales
12 Sept
Colegiales
1 : 0
Nueva Chicago
06 Sept
Temperley
3 : 1
Colegiales
02 Sept
Colegiales
3 : 0
Midland
Page 1 of 6

Club Atletico Guemes

(Away)
26 Sept
Quilmes
2 : 0
Club Atletico Guemes
20 Sept
Club Atletico Guemes
0 : 2
Midland
12 Sept
Atletico Atlanta
2 : 0
Club Atletico Guemes
06 Sept
Club Atletico Guemes
1 : 3
Gimnasia y Tiro
30 Aug
San Martin T.
1 : 1
Club Atletico Guemes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 32 17 7 8 51:32 58
3 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
4 Godoy Cruz 31 15 8 8 40:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 32 14 10 8 39:25 52
6 Almirante Brown 31 12 10 9 23:18 46
7 CA Estudiantes 32 12 9 11 29:27 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 32 11 12 9 27:28 45
9 Los Andes 31 9 13 9 24:21 40
10 Chaco For Ever 31 9 9 13 28:31 36
11 Defensores de Belgrano 31 8 12 11 23:27 36
12 Racing Cordoba 31 9 9 13 28:38 36
13 CA Mitre 32 7 14 11 29:39 35
14 San Telmo 31 8 10 13 25:34 34
15 All Boys 32 6 15 11 18:28 33
16 Central Norte 31 6 14 11 19:28 32
17 San Miguel 32 6 13 13 25:38 31
18 Acassuso 32 7 8 17 22:35 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 32 15 13 4 32:15 58
2 Temperley 32 15 11 6 38:26 56
3 Gimnasia Jujuy 32 15 9 8 48:40 54
4 Atletico Atlanta 31 16 4 11 35:28 52
5 Gimnasia y Tiro 31 13 9 9 32:27 48
6 Midland 31 13 8 10 34:26 47
7 San Martin S.J. 31 12 9 10 33:30 45
8 Deportivo Maipu 31 12 8 11 38:31 44
9 Colegiales 31 12 7 12 31:31 43
10 Atl. Rafaela 31 11 9 11 25:27 42
11 San Martin T. 31 9 13 9 34:32 40
12 Quilmes 32 10 9 13 30:27 39
13 Nueva Chicago 31 9 9 13 23:29 36
14 Agropecuario 31 9 9 13 26:35 36
15 Almagro 31 9 8 14 26:37 35
16 Patronato 31 6 16 9 27:31 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 31 8 6 17 23:33 30
18 Club Atletico Guemes 31 5 8 18 23:53 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)