Sport Picks

Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio de Colegiales, Buenos Aires

Colegiales

4 - 1

Club Atletico Guemes

Our Tip

Match Events

29'

Gonzalez L.

34'

Zicarelli F.

43'

Godoy F.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between Colegiales and Club Atletico Guemes finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Colegiales.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Colegiales

Draws

Club Atletico Guemes

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Colegiales

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Colegiales carry the better recent record into this one.
90% — that's where the model lands on Colegiales taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
These two have met 3 times recently and Colegiales have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%

Colegiales Clean Sheet 68%

Club Atletico Guemes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Colegiales	Club Atletico Guemes
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	10	9
Draws	7	5
Losses	11	14
Goals Scored	1.25	0.88
Goals Conceded	0.75	2
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Primera Nacional

Colegiales vs Club Atletico Guemes

4:1

Aug 31, 2025 Primera Nacional

Club Atletico Guemes vs Colegiales

1:0

Apr 26, 2025 Primera Nacional

Colegiales vs Club Atletico Guemes

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colegiales Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez L.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Toloza N.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Club Atletico Guemes Compare

Top Goalscorer Sala S. G.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colegiales 95 / 100

Club Atletico Guemes 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Colegiales Club Atletico Guemes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COL Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Club Atletico Guemes let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Club Atletico Guemes lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Colegiales found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (28 games).

Scoring Trends

Colegiales VS Club Atletico Guemes

1.25 Goals Scored 0.88

0.75 Goals Conceded 2

50% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Colegiales

(Home)

14 Jul

Atletico Atlanta

1 : 0

Colegiales

04 Jul

Colegiales

1 : 2

Gimnasia y Tiro

20 Jun

Colegiales

3 : 1

Quilmes

13 Jun

Colegiales

2 : 0

San Martin T.

06 Jun

Atl. Rafaela

1 : 0

Colegiales

Page 1 of 6

Club Atletico Guemes

(Away)

12 Jul

Club Atletico Guemes

0 : 2

San Martin S.J.

04 Jul

Nueva Chicago

2 : 0

Club Atletico Guemes

21 Jun

Club Atletico Guemes

1 : 3

Gimnasia Jujuy

14 Jun

Temperley

4 : 1

Club Atletico Guemes

07 Jun

Club Atletico Guemes

1 : 0

Deportivo Maipu

Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ferro	21	13	4	4	25:14	43
2	Deportivo Moron	20	10	5	5	29:19	35
3	Colon Santa Fe	21	9	8	4	27:17	35
4	Los Andes	20	8	8	4	19:8	32
5	Ciudad Bolivar	21	7	10	4	19:16	31
6	CA Estudiantes	21	8	7	6	18:16	31
7	Almirante Brown	21	8	7	6	15:13	31
8	Deportivo Madryn	20	7	8	5	27:22	29
9	Godoy Cruz	20	7	7	6	20:17	28
10	San Miguel	20	5	10	5	17:21	25
11	Racing Cordoba	21	6	6	9	20:25	24
12	Defensores de Belgrano	20	5	8	7	14:18	23
13	All Boys	21	4	10	7	13:20	22
14	CA Mitre	21	4	9	8	20:27	21
15	San Telmo	20	4	8	8	16:21	20
16	Acassuso	20	5	4	11	15:23	19
17	Central Norte	20	4	7	9	12:21	19
18	Chaco For Ever	20	3	7	10	17:26	16

Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)

Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gimnasia Jujuy	20	11	5	4	32:22	38
2	Atletico Atlanta	20	11	3	6	25:15	36
3	Temperley	21	8	10	3	21:17	34
4	Tristan Suarez	20	8	9	3	17:11	33
5	Midland	20	8	6	6	21:15	30
6	San Martin T.	21	7	9	5	19:15	30
7	Deportivo Maipu	21	8	5	8	27:21	29
8	Atl. Rafaela	21	7	6	8	15:18	27
9	San Martin S.J.	19	7	5	7	20:19	26
10	Nueva Chicago	20	6	8	6	18:18	26
11	Gimnasia y Tiro	20	6	7	7	19:21	25
12	Almagro	20	7	4	9	16:22	25
13	Quilmes	20	6	6	8	18:16	24
14	Colegiales	20	6	5	9	18:20	23
15	Chacarita Juniors	20	6	5	9	16:21	23
16	Patronato	20	4	10	6	13:17	22
17	Agropecuario	21	4	8	9	15:25	20
18	Club Atletico Guemes	20	5	4	11	18:34	19

Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)

Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)