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Colegiales vs Deportivo Maipu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio de Colegiales, Buenos Aires
Colegiales Logo

Colegiales

1 - 0
FT
Deportivo Maipu Logo

Deportivo Maipu

Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Zicarelli F.
26'
Marin F.
48'
de la Reta J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between Colegiales and Deportivo Maipu finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Colegiales.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Colegiales
35%
Draws
31%
Deportivo Maipu
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Colegiales have managed 1 goals a game lately — Deportivo Maipu are scoring more at 1.18.
  • Win probability leans Colegiales's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Colegiales Clean Sheet 20%
Deportivo Maipu Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colegiales Deportivo Maipu
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 12
Draws 8 7
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1 1.18
Goals Conceded 0.86 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Primera Nacional
Colegiales vs Deportivo Maipu
1:0
Apr 12, 2026 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Maipu vs Colegiales
3:1
Sep 28, 2025 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Maipu vs Colegiales
1:2
May 25, 2025 Primera Nacional
Colegiales vs Deportivo Maipu
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colegiales 36 / 100
Deportivo Maipu 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colegiales Deportivo Maipu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Maipu let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Colegiales stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Colegiales found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Colegiales VS Deportivo Maipu
1 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Colegiales

(Home)
10 Oct
Colegiales
0 : 0
Tristan Suarez
04 Oct
Club Atletico Guemes
0 : 1
Colegiales
26 Sept
Colegiales
2 : 1
Chacarita Juniors
20 Sept
San Martin S.J.
2 : 0
Colegiales
12 Sept
Colegiales
1 : 0
Nueva Chicago
Page 1 of 6

Deportivo Maipu

(Away)
05 Oct
Nueva Chicago
0 : 1
Deportivo Maipu
27 Sept
Deportivo Maipu
1 : 0
Temperley
20 Sept
Deportivo Maipu
1 : 1
Gimnasia Jujuy
12 Sept
Almagro
2 : 2
Deportivo Maipu
06 Sept
Deportivo Maipu
0 : 0
Patronato
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 32 17 7 8 51:32 58
3 Godoy Cruz 32 16 8 8 42:29 56
4 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 32 14 10 8 39:25 52
6 Almirante Brown 32 12 10 10 25:21 46
7 CA Estudiantes 32 12 9 11 29:27 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 32 11 12 9 27:28 45
9 Los Andes 32 9 13 10 25:23 40
10 Chaco For Ever 32 9 10 13 30:33 37
11 Defensores de Belgrano 32 8 13 11 25:29 37
12 San Telmo 32 9 10 13 28:36 37
13 Racing Cordoba 32 9 10 13 29:39 37
14 CA Mitre 32 7 14 11 29:39 35
15 Central Norte 32 6 15 11 20:29 33
16 All Boys 32 6 15 11 18:28 33
17 San Miguel 32 6 13 13 25:38 31
18 Acassuso 32 7 8 17 22:35 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 33 15 14 4 32:15 59
2 Temperley 32 15 11 6 38:26 56
3 Atletico Atlanta 32 17 4 11 38:30 55
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 32 15 9 8 48:40 54
5 Midland 33 14 9 10 38:26 51
6 Gimnasia y Tiro 32 13 9 10 32:28 48
7 Deportivo Maipu 32 13 8 11 39:31 47
8 Colegiales 33 13 8 12 32:31 47
9 San Martin S.J. 32 12 9 11 34:32 45
10 San Martin T. 32 10 13 9 35:32 43
11 Atl. Rafaela 33 11 9 13 27:34 42
12 Almagro 33 11 8 14 30:39 41
13 Agropecuario 33 10 10 13 27:35 40
14 Quilmes 33 10 9 14 30:28 39
15 Nueva Chicago 32 9 9 14 23:30 36
16 Patronato 32 6 16 10 27:32 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 33 9 6 18 25:35 33
18 Club Atletico Guemes 32 5 8 19 23:54 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)