Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Colegiales vs Midland

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio de Colegiales, Buenos Aires
Colegiales Logo

Colegiales

3 - 0
FT
Midland Logo

Midland

Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Marin F.
27' Event
Castillo L.
Assist: Albertengo M.
36'
Marin F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between Colegiales and Midland finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Colegiales.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Colegiales
15%
Draws
34%
Midland
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Colegiales

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Colegiales haven't matched Midland's recent run of results.
  • Colegiales are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Colegiales Clean Sheet 68%
Midland Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colegiales Midland
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 11 14
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1 1.19
Goals Conceded 1 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 Primera Nacional
Colegiales vs Midland
3:0
Mar 1, 2026 Primera Nacional
Midland vs Colegiales
2:0
Sep 15, 2024 Primera B
Midland vs Colegiales
2:1
Apr 27, 2024 Primera B
Colegiales vs Midland
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colegiales Compare

Top Goalscorer Castillo L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Albertengo M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Midland Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colegiales 59 / 100
Midland 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colegiales Midland

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colegiales Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Midland has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Colegiales remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Midland has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Colegiales VS Midland
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Colegiales

(Home)
26 Sept
Colegiales
2 : 1
Chacarita Juniors
20 Sept
San Martin S.J.
2 : 0
Colegiales
12 Sept
Colegiales
1 : 0
Nueva Chicago
06 Sept
Temperley
3 : 1
Colegiales
02 Sept
Colegiales
3 : 0
Midland
Page 1 of 6

Midland

(Away)
27 Sept
Midland
0 : 1
Tristan Suarez
20 Sept
Club Atletico Guemes
0 : 2
Midland
13 Sept
Midland
1 : 0
Chacarita Juniors
06 Sept
San Martin S.J.
3 : 2
Midland
02 Sept
Colegiales
3 : 0
Midland
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 31 18 7 6 36:25 61
2 Deportivo Moron 31 16 7 8 49:31 55
3 Godoy Cruz 31 15 8 8 40:28 53
4 Deportivo Madryn 31 13 11 7 44:28 50
5 Colon Santa Fe 31 13 10 8 38:25 49
6 Almirante Brown 31 12 10 9 23:18 46
7 CA Estudiantes 31 12 9 10 29:26 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 31 10 12 9 26:28 42
9 Los Andes 31 9 13 9 24:21 40
10 Chaco For Ever 31 9 9 13 28:31 36
11 Defensores de Belgrano 31 8 12 11 23:27 36
12 Racing Cordoba 31 9 9 13 28:38 36
13 San Telmo 31 8 10 13 25:34 34
14 All Boys 31 6 15 10 17:26 33
15 Central Norte 31 6 14 11 19:28 32
16 CA Mitre 31 6 14 11 27:39 32
17 San Miguel 31 6 13 12 25:36 31
18 Acassuso 31 7 8 16 22:34 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 31 15 12 4 32:15 57
2 Gimnasia Jujuy 31 15 9 7 47:38 54
3 Temperley 31 14 11 6 36:25 53
4 Atletico Atlanta 31 16 4 11 35:28 52
5 Gimnasia y Tiro 31 13 9 9 32:27 48
6 Midland 31 13 8 10 34:26 47
7 San Martin S.J. 31 12 9 10 33:30 45
8 Deportivo Maipu 31 12 8 11 38:31 44
9 Colegiales 31 12 7 12 31:31 43
10 Atl. Rafaela 31 11 9 11 25:27 42
11 San Martin T. 31 9 13 9 34:32 40
12 Quilmes 31 10 8 13 30:27 38
13 Nueva Chicago 31 9 9 13 23:29 36
14 Agropecuario 31 9 9 13 26:35 36
15 Almagro 31 9 8 14 26:37 35
16 Patronato 31 6 16 9 27:31 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 31 8 6 17 23:33 30
18 Club Atletico Guemes 31 5 8 18 23:53 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)