Sport Picks
Colegiales vs Nueva Chicago
Argentina
Primera Nacional Estadio de Colegiales, Buenos Aires 
Match Events
1'
1'
Monserrat R. E.
Assist: Zicarelli F.
5'
5'
Paz G.
6'
6'
Sub
Roldan E. In: Gonzalez A.
Out: Roldan E.
AI Match Summary
The Primera Nacional game between Colegiales and Nueva Chicago finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Colegiales.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Colegiales
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Nueva Chicago haven't matched Colegiales's recent run of results.
- Model gives Colegiales a 59% chance of winning this.
- Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Colegiales Clean Sheet 68%
Nueva Chicago Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Colegiales | Nueva Chicago |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 0.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Primera Nacional
Colegiales vs Nueva Chicago
1:0
Apr 26, 2026 Primera Nacional
Nueva Chicago vs Colegiales
0:0
May 17, 2014 Primera B
Colegiales vs Nueva Chicago
0:1
Dec 3, 2013 Primera B
Nueva Chicago vs Colegiales
2:0
Apr 3, 2012 Primera B
Colegiales vs Nueva Chicago
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Colegiales Compare
Top Goalscorer Monserrat R. E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Nueva Chicago Compare
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Colegiales 95 / 100
Nueva Chicago 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Colegiales Nueva Chicago
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Colegiales Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nueva Chicago's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.
Colegiales has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Nueva Chicago's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Colegiales VS Nueva Chicago
1.25 Goals Scored 0.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Colegiales
(Home) 20 Sept
San Martin S.J.
2 : 0 Colegiales
12 Sept
Colegiales
1 : 0 Nueva Chicago
06 Sept
Temperley
3 : 1 Colegiales
02 Sept
Colegiales
3 : 0 Midland
29 Aug
Colegiales
1 : 0 Deportivo Maipu
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Colegiales
1 : 0 Nueva Chicago
02 Sept
Colegiales
3 : 0 Midland
29 Aug
Colegiales
1 : 0 Deportivo Maipu
09 Aug
Colegiales
2 : 2 Patronato
01 Aug
Colegiales
2 : 1 Gimnasia Jujuy
Page 1 of 3
Nueva Chicago
(Away) 21 Sept
Nueva Chicago
1 : 1 Patronato
12 Sept
Colegiales
1 : 0 Nueva Chicago
07 Sept
Nueva Chicago
1 : 0 Quilmes
29 Aug
Midland
2 : 0 Nueva Chicago
26 Aug
San Martin S.J.
1 : 0 Nueva Chicago
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Colegiales
1 : 0 Nueva Chicago
29 Aug
Midland
2 : 0 Nueva Chicago
26 Aug
San Martin S.J.
1 : 0 Nueva Chicago
17 Aug
All Boys
1 : 0 Nueva Chicago
09 Aug
Gimnasia y Tiro
2 : 0 Nueva Chicago
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 35:25 | 58 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 48:29 | 55 |
| 3 | Godoy Cruz | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 38:26 | 52 |
| 4 | Deportivo Madryn | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 44:28 | 49 |
| 5 | Colon Santa Fe | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 38:25 | 48 |
| 6 | Almirante Brown | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 23:17 | 46 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 27:25 | 42 |
| 8 | Ciudad Bolivar | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 24:27 | 39 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 22:20 | 37 |
| 10 | Chaco For Ever | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 27:29 | 36 |
| 11 | Defensores de Belgrano | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 23:26 | 36 |
| 12 | Racing Cordoba | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 26:36 | 35 |
| 13 | All Boys | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 17:26 | 32 |
| 14 | CA Mitre | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 27:37 | 32 |
| 15 | Central Norte | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 19:28 | 31 |
| 16 | San Miguel | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 24:34 | 31 |
| 17 | San Telmo | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 23:34 | 31 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 21:34 | 26 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 30 | 14 | 12 | 4 | 31:15 | 54 |
| 2 | Temperley | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 36:24 | 53 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 45:36 | 53 |
| 4 | Atletico Atlanta | 30 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 34:28 | 49 |
| 5 | Midland | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 34:25 | 47 |
| 6 | San Martin S.J. | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 33:27 | 45 |
| 7 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 31:27 | 45 |
| 8 | Atl. Rafaela | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 25:26 | 42 |
| 9 | Deportivo Maipu | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 37:31 | 41 |
| 10 | Colegiales | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 29:30 | 40 |
| 11 | San Martin T. | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 32:30 | 39 |
| 12 | Agropecuario | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 26:34 | 36 |
| 13 | Quilmes | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 28:27 | 35 |
| 14 | Almagro | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 26:36 | 35 |
| 15 | Nueva Chicago | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 22:29 | 33 |
| 16 | Patronato | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 24:31 | 31 |
| 17 | Chacarita Juniors | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 22:31 | 30 |
| 18 | Club Atletico Guemes | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 23:51 | 23 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
