Sport Picks
Colegiales vs Quilmes
Argentina
Primera Nacional Estadio de Colegiales, Buenos Aires 
Match Events
4'
4'
Toloza N.
54'
54'
Albertengo M.
Assist: Toloza N.
61'
61'
Sub
Trinidad E. In: Montiel F.
Out: Trinidad E.
AI Match Summary
The Primera Nacional game between Colegiales and Quilmes finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Colegiales.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
60%
22%
18%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Colegiales
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Colegiales come out ahead of Quilmes on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Colegiales's way, sitting at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Colegiales have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.200000000000003%
Colegiales Clean Sheet 68%
Quilmes Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Colegiales | Quilmes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 6 |
| Draws | 7 | 11 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 0.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 26, 2026 Primera Nacional
Quilmes vs Colegiales
0:1
Jun 20, 2026 Primera Nacional
Colegiales vs Quilmes
3:1
Jul 26, 2025 Primera Nacional
Colegiales vs Quilmes
1:0
Mar 27, 2025 Primera Nacional
Quilmes vs Colegiales
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Colegiales Compare
Top Goalscorer Toloza N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Albertengo M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Quilmes Compare
Top Goalscorer Bolivar A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Colegiales 68 / 100
Quilmes 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Colegiales Quilmes
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick COL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Colegiales's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Colegiales stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Quilmes's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Colegiales VS Quilmes
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Colegiales
(Home) 26 Jul
Quilmes
0 : 1 Colegiales
14 Jul
Atletico Atlanta
1 : 0 Colegiales
04 Jul
Colegiales
1 : 2 Gimnasia y Tiro
20 Jun
Colegiales
3 : 1 Quilmes
13 Jun
Colegiales
2 : 0 San Martin T.
Page 1 of 6
04 Jul
Colegiales
1 : 2 Gimnasia y Tiro
20 Jun
Colegiales
3 : 1 Quilmes
13 Jun
Colegiales
2 : 0 San Martin T.
30 May
Colegiales
0 : 0 Agropecuario
16 May
Colegiales
4 : 1 Club Atletico Guemes
Page 1 of 3
Quilmes
(Away) 26 Jul
Quilmes
0 : 1 Colegiales
12 Jul
Midland
1 : 0 Quilmes
04 Jul
Quilmes
2 : 1 Atletico Atlanta
20 Jun
Colegiales
3 : 1 Quilmes
13 Jun
Quilmes
1 : 0 Gimnasia y Tiro
Page 1 of 6
12 Jul
Midland
1 : 0 Quilmes
20 Jun
Colegiales
3 : 1 Quilmes
07 Jun
San Martin T.
0 : 0 Quilmes
24 May
Agropecuario
0 : 0 Quilmes
10 May
Club Atletico Guemes
2 : 1 Quilmes
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 25:18 | 43 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 33:19 | 38 |
| 3 | Colon Santa Fe | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 27:18 | 35 |
| 4 | Ciudad Bolivar | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 21:17 | 34 |
| 5 | Los Andes | 21 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 19:8 | 33 |
| 6 | Almirante Brown | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 15:13 | 32 |
| 7 | Godoy Cruz | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 22:18 | 31 |
| 8 | CA Estudiantes | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 19:18 | 31 |
| 9 | Deportivo Madryn | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 27:22 | 30 |
| 10 | Racing Cordoba | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 22:26 | 27 |
| 11 | San Miguel | 21 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 17:21 | 26 |
| 12 | Defensores de Belgrano | 21 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 14:18 | 24 |
| 13 | All Boys | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 13:20 | 23 |
| 14 | CA Mitre | 22 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 20:27 | 22 |
| 15 | San Telmo | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 17:23 | 20 |
| 16 | Acassuso | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 15:23 | 20 |
| 17 | Chaco For Ever | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 18:26 | 19 |
| 18 | Central Norte | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 13:23 | 19 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 34:23 | 41 |
| 2 | Temperley | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 23:18 | 37 |
| 3 | Atletico Atlanta | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | 36 |
| 4 | Tristan Suarez | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 18:11 | 36 |
| 5 | Midland | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 22:15 | 33 |
| 6 | San Martin T. | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 20:17 | 30 |
| 7 | Atl. Rafaela | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 16:18 | 30 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 27:22 | 29 |
| 9 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 20:21 | 28 |
| 10 | San Martin S.J. | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 21:21 | 26 |
| 11 | Colegiales | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 19:20 | 26 |
| 12 | Nueva Chicago | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 18:19 | 26 |
| 13 | Almagro | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 16:22 | 25 |
| 14 | Quilmes | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 18:17 | 24 |
| 15 | Chacarita Juniors | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 16:22 | 23 |
| 16 | Agropecuario | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 17:26 | 23 |
| 17 | Patronato | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 13:18 | 22 |
| 18 | Club Atletico Guemes | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 19:36 | 19 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
