Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Coleraine vs Ballymena

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership The Showgrounds, Coleraine
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Shevlin M.
32' Event
Henderson J.
54' Event
Hood J.

AI Match Summary

The NIFL Premiership game between Coleraine and Ballymena finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Coleraine.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Coleraine
20%
Draws
19%
Ballymena
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Coleraine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Coleraine carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Coleraine's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular NIFL Premiership form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Coleraine Clean Sheet 17%
Ballymena Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coleraine Ballymena
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 24 12
Draws 4 9
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 2.28 2
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Coleraine vs Ballymena
3:2
Feb 20, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Coleraine vs Ballymena
1:0
Dec 26, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Ballymena vs Coleraine
2:0
Oct 11, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Ballymena vs Coleraine
1:3
Dec 26, 2024 NIFL Premiership
Coleraine vs Ballymena
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coleraine Compare

Top Goalscorer Shevlin M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Henderson J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Ballymena Compare

Top Goalscorer Hood J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coleraine 84 / 100
Ballymena 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coleraine Ballymena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Coleraine Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coleraine's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Coleraine stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Ballymena's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Coleraine VS Ballymena
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Coleraine

(Home)
11 Sept
Coleraine
3 : 2
Ballymena
05 Sept
Coleraine
4 : 1
Crusaders
28 Aug
Portadown
0 : 3
Coleraine
22 Aug
Carrick Rangers
0 : 2
Coleraine
15 Aug
Coleraine
0 : 0
Larne
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Ballymena

(Away)
11 Sept
Coleraine
3 : 2
Ballymena
05 Sept
Bangor FC
2 : 2
Ballymena
21 Aug
Ballymena
0 : 2
Glentoran
15 Aug
Crusaders
2 : 1
Ballymena
08 Aug
Linfield
0 : 3
Ballymena
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coleraine 8 7 1 0 18:5 22
2 Linfield 8 6 1 1 9:5 19
3 Larne 6 5 1 0 12:3 16
4 Dungannon 8 4 1 3 9:8 13
5 Cliftonville 8 4 0 4 12:10 12
6 Crusaders 8 4 0 4 13:13 12
7 Glentoran 8 3 1 4 11:10 10
8 Carrick Rangers 8 3 1 4 11:13 10
9 Ballymena 7 1 3 3 10:11 6
10 Limavady 7 2 0 5 6:11 6
11 Bangor FC 8 1 2 5 7:17 5
12 Portadown 8 0 1 7 5:17 1
Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group)