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Coleraine vs Cliftonville

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 The Showgrounds
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Coleraine play Cliftonville in the NIFL Premiership 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Coleraine averaged 2.55 goals scored and 0.94 conceded. Cliftonville averaged 1.66 goals scored and 1.72 conceded. In past meetings, Coleraine won 2, Cliftonville won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 11, 2026 ended 6:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.50 for Coleraine and 1.06 for Cliftonville. This points to a Coleraine double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Coleraine
15%
Draws
31%
Cliftonville
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Coleraine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Coleraine picked up more points recently compared to Cliftonville.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.50 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Coleraine Clean Sheet 22%
Cliftonville Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coleraine Cliftonville
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 23 12
Draws 3 4
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 2.55 1.66
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Coleraine vs Cliftonville
6:2
Mar 14, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Coleraine vs Cliftonville
1:0
Nov 22, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Cliftonville vs Coleraine
1:0
Aug 16, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Cliftonville vs Coleraine
0:0
May 11, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Coleraine vs Cliftonville
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coleraine Compare

Top Goalscorer Patching W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

Cliftonville Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coleraine 53 / 100
Cliftonville 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coleraine Cliftonville

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Coleraine Win (1)
Secondary Pick Coleraine & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.2%
2.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Coleraine attacking → ← attacking Cliftonville

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coleraine scored in 90% of their last 31 games.

Cliftonville let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Coleraine went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Cliftonville lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

72 Points in last 5 40
3.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Larne33227460:2273
2Glentoran33216663:3069
3Coleraine33205862:3165
4Linfield33188756:2462
5Cliftonville331381249:4847
6Dungannon331511740:5846
7Carrick Rangers331271449:5143
8Bangor FC331061738:5736
9Portadown331131936:5736
10Ballymena33971739:5034
11Crusaders33752138:7226
12Glenavon33812433:6325