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Coleraine vs Cliftonville - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership The Showgrounds, Coleraine
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Shevlin M.
21'
Leppard S.
41'
Shevlin M.

AI Match Summary

The NIFL Premiership game between Coleraine and Cliftonville finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Coleraine.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Coleraine
15%
Draws
17%
Cliftonville
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Coleraine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Coleraine carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Coleraine's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular NIFL Premiership form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Coleraine Clean Sheet 20%
Cliftonville Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coleraine Cliftonville
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 22 13
Draws 4 1
Losses 4 15
Goals Scored 2.27 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Coleraine vs Cliftonville
1:0
Apr 11, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Coleraine vs Cliftonville
6:2
Mar 14, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Coleraine vs Cliftonville
1:0
Nov 22, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Cliftonville vs Coleraine
1:0
Aug 16, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Cliftonville vs Coleraine
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coleraine Compare

Top Goalscorer Shevlin M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Cliftonville Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coleraine 76 / 100
Cliftonville 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coleraine Cliftonville

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Coleraine Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coleraine found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Cliftonville conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Coleraine stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Coleraine VS Cliftonville
2.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Coleraine

(Home)
04 Oct
Bangor FC
2 : 3
Coleraine
25 Sept
Coleraine
1 : 3
Linfield
19 Sept
Coleraine
1 : 0
Limavady
15 Sept
Glentoran
1 : 2
Coleraine
11 Sept
Coleraine
3 : 2
Ballymena
Page 1 of 6

Cliftonville

(Away)
03 Oct
Cliftonville
0 : 1
Ballymena
26 Sept
Limavady
1 : 0
Cliftonville
19 Sept
Cliftonville
1 : 2
Glentoran
15 Sept
Larne
2 : 0
Cliftonville
12 Sept
Carrick Rangers
1 : 3
Cliftonville
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coleraine 10 8 1 1 22:10 25
2 Linfield 9 7 1 1 12:6 22
3 Glentoran 11 5 2 4 15:10 17
4 Larne 6 5 1 0 12:3 16
5 Crusaders 10 5 0 5 15:18 15
6 Carrick Rangers 10 4 1 5 15:15 13
7 Dungannon 9 4 1 4 9:10 13
8 Ballymena 9 3 3 3 13:11 12
9 Cliftonville 10 4 0 6 12:12 12
10 Limavady 9 3 0 6 8:14 9
11 Bangor FC 10 1 2 7 10:22 5
12 Portadown 11 1 2 8 8:20 5
Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group)