Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Coleraine vs Crusaders

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership The Showgrounds, Coleraine
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Devine S.
Assist: Wylie B.
5' Event
Henderson J.
8' Event
Shevlin M.
Assist: Doherty B.

AI Match Summary

Coleraine in this NIFL Premiership matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Coleraine.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Coleraine
15%
Draws
32%
Crusaders
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Coleraine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Crusaders haven't matched Coleraine's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Coleraine's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Coleraine have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Coleraine Clean Sheet 68%
Crusaders Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coleraine Crusaders
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 21 12
Draws 3 6
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 2.29 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Coleraine vs Crusaders
4:1
Jan 17, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Coleraine vs Crusaders
5:1
Jan 9, 2026 Irish Cup
Coleraine vs Crusaders
4:0
Nov 29, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Crusaders vs Coleraine
0:2
Sep 6, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Crusaders vs Coleraine
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coleraine Compare

Top Goalscorer Devine S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Henderson J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Crusaders Compare

Top Goalscorer Mulholland M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coleraine 95 / 100
Crusaders 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coleraine Crusaders

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Coleraine Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coleraine scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Coleraine remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Crusaders let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Coleraine VS Crusaders
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Coleraine

(Home)
15 Sept
Glentoran
1 : 2
Coleraine
11 Sept
Coleraine
3 : 2
Ballymena
05 Sept
Coleraine
4 : 1
Crusaders
28 Aug
Portadown
0 : 3
Coleraine
22 Aug
Carrick Rangers
0 : 2
Coleraine
Page 1 of 6

Crusaders

(Away)
15 Sept
Crusaders
3 : 0
Dungannon
12 Sept
Crusaders
1 : 2
Limavady
05 Sept
Coleraine
4 : 1
Crusaders
29 Aug
Glentoran
1 : 2
Crusaders
22 Aug
Crusaders
3 : 2
Portadown
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coleraine 7 6 1 0 17:5 19
2 Linfield 7 5 1 1 8:5 16
3 Larne 5 4 1 0 7:1 13
4 Cliftonville 7 4 0 3 11:8 12
5 Crusaders 7 4 0 3 13:12 12
6 Dungannon 7 4 0 3 8:7 12
7 Carrick Rangers 7 3 1 3 9:8 10
8 Glentoran 7 2 1 4 9:9 7
9 Limavady 6 2 0 4 6:10 6
10 Ballymena 6 1 2 3 9:10 5
11 Bangor FC 7 0 2 5 4:16 2
12 Portadown 7 0 1 6 4:14 1
Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group)