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Coleraine vs Dungannon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership The Showgrounds, Coleraine
Fri, Nov 27, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Coleraine host Dungannon in the NIFL Premiership. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Dungannon have shipped 1.56 goals a game lately, while Coleraine have conceded 1.17 and scored 2.4. Head-to-head, Coleraine have won 4 to Dungannon's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 8, 2026, ending 1:3. Model xG sits at 2.13 vs 1.00, favoring Coleraine. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Coleraine
30%
Draws
19%
Dungannon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Coleraine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Coleraine lately — more wins on the board than Dungannon.
  • Win probability leans Coleraine's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular NIFL Premiership form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Coleraine have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Coleraine Clean Sheet 20%
Dungannon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coleraine Dungannon
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 22 15
Draws 4 5
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 2.4 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Dungannon vs Coleraine
1:3
May 2, 2026 Irish Cup
Dungannon vs Coleraine
2:3
Mar 28, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Dungannon vs Coleraine
1:2
Feb 28, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Dungannon vs Coleraine
3:1
Oct 18, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Coleraine vs Dungannon
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coleraine 85 / 100
Dungannon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coleraine Dungannon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Coleraine Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coleraine found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Coleraine has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Dungannon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Coleraine VS Dungannon
2.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Coleraine

(Home)
30 Oct
Coleraine
1 : 1
Glentoran
24 Oct
Crusaders
0 : 5
Coleraine
16 Oct
Larne
2 : 3
Coleraine
10 Oct
Coleraine
1 : 0
Cliftonville
04 Oct
Bangor FC
2 : 3
Coleraine
Page 1 of 6

Dungannon

(Away)
31 Oct
Linfield
1 : 1
Dungannon
24 Oct
Dungannon
1 : 3
Cliftonville
20 Oct
Bangor FC
1 : 2
Dungannon
17 Oct
Bangor FC
0 : 0
Dungannon
10 Oct
Dungannon
2 : 4
Carrick Rangers
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coleraine 14 11 2 1 32:13 35
2 Linfield 14 10 3 1 21:11 33
3 Larne 12 8 2 2 22:10 26
4 Glentoran 13 6 3 4 17:11 21
5 Cliftonville 14 6 0 8 23:17 18
6 Carrick Rangers 14 5 3 6 23:27 18
7 Crusaders 14 6 0 8 20:29 18
8 Ballymena 12 4 3 5 17:16 15
9 Dungannon 13 4 3 6 13:18 15
10 Limavady 14 4 2 8 14:23 14
11 Bangor FC 14 2 3 9 12:26 9
12 Portadown 14 2 2 10 11:24 8
Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group)