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Coleraine vs Glentoran - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership The Showgrounds, Coleraine
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Coleraine host Glentoran in the NIFL Premiership. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Coleraine at 2.37 goals for, 1.22 against; Glentoran at 1.69 for, 1.28 against. Head-to-head, Coleraine have won 2 to Glentoran's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 15, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.81 xG vs 1.25) point toward Coleraine. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Coleraine
15%
Draws
39%
Glentoran
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Coleraine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Glentoran haven't matched Coleraine's recent run of results.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular NIFL Premiership form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Coleraine Clean Sheet 19%
Glentoran Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coleraine Glentoran
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 20 11
Draws 3 7
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 2.37 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Glentoran vs Coleraine
1:2
Apr 25, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Coleraine vs Glentoran
6:2
Mar 21, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Glentoran vs Coleraine
1:1
Feb 3, 2026 Irish League Cup
Glentoran vs Coleraine
2:1
Dec 19, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Glentoran vs Coleraine
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coleraine 36 / 100
Glentoran 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coleraine Glentoran

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Glentoran Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coleraine's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Defensive concern: Glentoran conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Coleraine stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Coleraine VS Glentoran
2.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Coleraine

(Home)
04 Oct
Bangor FC
2 : 3
Coleraine
25 Sept
Coleraine
1 : 3
Linfield
19 Sept
Coleraine
1 : 0
Limavady
15 Sept
Glentoran
1 : 2
Coleraine
11 Sept
Coleraine
3 : 2
Ballymena
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Glentoran

(Away)
09 Oct
Portadown
0 : 0
Glentoran
03 Oct
Glentoran
2 : 0
Dungannon
26 Sept
Glentoran
2 : 0
Carrick Rangers
19 Sept
Cliftonville
1 : 2
Glentoran
15 Sept
Glentoran
1 : 2
Coleraine
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coleraine 10 8 1 1 22:10 25
2 Linfield 9 7 1 1 12:6 22
3 Glentoran 11 5 2 4 15:10 17
4 Larne 6 5 1 0 12:3 16
5 Crusaders 10 5 0 5 15:18 15
6 Carrick Rangers 10 4 1 5 15:15 13
7 Dungannon 9 4 1 4 9:10 13
8 Ballymena 9 3 3 3 13:11 12
9 Cliftonville 10 4 0 6 12:12 12
10 Limavady 9 3 0 6 8:14 9
11 Bangor FC 10 1 2 7 10:22 5
12 Portadown 11 1 2 8 8:20 5
Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group)