Sport Picks
Match Events
13'
13'
Cooper J.
58'
58'
62'
62'
Lusty M.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Coleraine
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Coleraine have won more games recently than Larne.
- Coleraine are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Coleraine have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Larne, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Coleraine Clean Sheet 68%
Larne Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Coleraine | Larne |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 21 | 16 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 5 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 2.38 | 1.62 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 3, 2026 Charity Shield
Larne vs Coleraine
1:0
Apr 7, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Larne vs Coleraine
1:4
Apr 4, 2026 Irish Cup
Coleraine vs Larne
2:1
Jan 2, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Larne vs Coleraine
3:0
Nov 25, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Coleraine vs Larne
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Coleraine Compare
Top Goalscorer Cooper J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Shevlin M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Larne Compare
Top Goalscorer Lusty M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Coleraine 59 / 100
Larne 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Coleraine Larne
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Coleraine Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Coleraine scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Solid form: Coleraine remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Difficult form: Larne registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Coleraine VS Larne
1.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Coleraine
(Home) 08 Aug
Dungannon
1 : 3 Coleraine
30 Jul
Coleraine
0 : 3 HJK
23 Jul
HJK
5 : 0 Coleraine
18 Jul
Coleraine
3 : 0 Portadown
14 Jul
Sligo Rovers
1 : 2 Coleraine
Page 1 of 6
30 Jul
Coleraine
0 : 3 HJK
18 Jul
Coleraine
3 : 0 Portadown
11 Jul
Coleraine
3 : 0 Portstewart
04 Jul
Coleraine
1 : 1 Harland & Wolff
25 Apr
Coleraine
6 : 2 Glentoran
Page 1 of 3
Larne
(Away) 11 Aug
Iberia 1999
2 : 1 Larne
04 Aug
Larne
0 : 0 Iberia 1999
29 Jul
Crvena zvezda
5 : 0 Larne
21 Jul
Larne
0 : 4 Crvena zvezda
14 Jul
Larne
2 : 1 Tre Fiori
Page 1 of 6
11 Aug
Iberia 1999
2 : 1 Larne
29 Jul
Crvena zvezda
5 : 0 Larne
07 Jul
Tre Fiori
0 : 1 Larne
29 Jun
Harland & Wolff
1 : 2 Larne
20 Jun
Stranraer
0 : 0 Larne
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
TBD -
Loughgall -
Wakehurst 2
Knockbreda 4
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
Institute -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
Newington FC -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh -
Dungannon -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Newbuildings 1
Moyola 2
TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
Comber Rec 3
Hanover 1
Ballymacash 4
Willowbank 0
Strabane Athletic 2
Rathfriland Rangers 1
TBD -
Glentoran -
Armagh -
TBD -
Newry City 1
Drumaness 2
Lisburn Distillery 4
Finaghy FC 2
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Limavady -
TBD -
Lisburn Rangers 5
Dergview 4
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
Bangor FC -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
Queens University -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
1/16-finals
Loughgall 2
Knockbreda 0
Ballinamallard 0
Institute 3
Cliftonville 3
Dundela 0
Glenavon 4
Newington FC 2
Portadown 4
Annagh 2
Dungannon 3
Ards 0
Moyola 2
Harland & Wolff 4
Comber Rec 0
Ballymacash 3
Strabane Athletic 0
Glentoran 4
Armagh 1
Drumaness 4
Lisburn Distillery 3
Warrenpoint 4
Ballymena 1
Larne 2
Limavady 4
Lisburn Rangers 1
Linfield 1
Bangor FC 0
Carrick Rangers 5
Queens University 1
Coleraine 4
Crusaders 0
1/8-finals
Loughgall 2
Institute 1
Cliftonville 2
Glenavon 1
Portadown 1
Dungannon 2
Harland & Wolff 3
Ballymacash 0
Glentoran 5
Drumaness 0
Warrenpoint 0
Larne 2
Limavady 1
Linfield 0
Carrick Rangers 1
Coleraine 4
Quarter-finals
Loughgall 0
Cliftonville 3
Dungannon 3
Harland & Wolff 0
Glentoran 1
Larne 2
Limavady 0
Coleraine 2
Semi-finals
Cliftonville 1
Dungannon 2
Larne 1
Coleraine 2
Final
Dungannon 2
Coleraine 3
