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Coleraine vs Limavady

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership The Showgrounds, Coleraine
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Mullan A.
42'
Cooper J.
45' Event
Cooper J.

AI Match Summary

The NIFL Premiership game between Coleraine and Limavady finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Coleraine.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Coleraine
15%
Draws
24%
Limavady
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Coleraine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Coleraine come out ahead of Limavady on wins alone.
  • Coleraine are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Coleraine here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Coleraine Clean Sheet 68%
Limavady Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coleraine Limavady
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 25 18
Draws 4 4
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 2.27 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Coleraine vs Limavady
1:0
Jul 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Limavady vs Coleraine
0:1
Mar 7, 2026 Irish Cup
Limavady vs Coleraine
0:2
Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Limavady vs Coleraine
2:4
Jul 13, 2024 Club Friendly
Limavady vs Coleraine
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coleraine Compare

Top Goalscorer Cooper J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Limavady Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coleraine 95 / 100
Limavady 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coleraine Limavady

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Coleraine Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Coleraine scored in 88% of their last 33 outings.

Recent resilience: Coleraine stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Limavady conceded in 66% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Coleraine VS Limavady
2.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Coleraine

(Home)
15 Sept
Glentoran
1 : 2
Coleraine
11 Sept
Coleraine
3 : 2
Ballymena
05 Sept
Coleraine
4 : 1
Crusaders
28 Aug
Portadown
0 : 3
Coleraine
22 Aug
Carrick Rangers
0 : 2
Coleraine
Page 1 of 7

Limavady

(Away)
15 Sept
Limavady
3 : 1
Bangor FC
12 Sept
Crusaders
1 : 2
Limavady
05 Sept
Limavady
0 : 2
Dungannon
29 Aug
Limavady
0 : 2
Linfield
15 Aug
Limavady
1 : 2
Carrick Rangers
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coleraine 7 6 1 0 17:5 19
2 Linfield 7 5 1 1 8:5 16
3 Larne 5 4 1 0 7:1 13
4 Cliftonville 7 4 0 3 11:8 12
5 Crusaders 7 4 0 3 13:12 12
6 Dungannon 7 4 0 3 8:7 12
7 Carrick Rangers 7 3 1 3 9:8 10
8 Glentoran 7 2 1 4 9:9 7
9 Limavady 6 2 0 4 6:10 6
10 Ballymena 6 1 2 3 9:10 5
11 Bangor FC 7 0 2 5 4:16 2
12 Portadown 7 0 1 6 4:14 1
Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group)