Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Coleraine vs Linfield

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership The Showgrounds, Coleraine
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Frizzell A.
25' Event
Shields C.
29'
Hall B.

AI Match Summary

Linfield in this NIFL Premiership matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Linfield.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Coleraine
15%
Draws
44%
Linfield
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Linfield

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Coleraine lately — more wins on the board than Linfield.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular NIFL Premiership form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Coleraine Clean Sheet 16%
Linfield Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coleraine Linfield
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 23 16
Draws 4 4
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 2.26 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Coleraine vs Linfield
1:3
Apr 18, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Linfield vs Coleraine
0:3
Dec 30, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Coleraine vs Linfield
3:1
Nov 8, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Linfield vs Coleraine
1:1
Oct 28, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Coleraine vs Linfield
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coleraine Compare

Top Goalscorer Shevlin M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Linfield Compare

Top Goalscorer Frizzell A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shields C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coleraine 36 / 100
Linfield 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coleraine Linfield

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Linfield Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:5
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coleraine found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (31 games).

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Defensive concern: Linfield conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Coleraine stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Coleraine VS Linfield
2.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Coleraine

(Home)
25 Sept
Coleraine
1 : 3
Linfield
19 Sept
Coleraine
1 : 0
Limavady
15 Sept
Glentoran
1 : 2
Coleraine
11 Sept
Coleraine
3 : 2
Ballymena
05 Sept
Coleraine
4 : 1
Crusaders
Page 1 of 7

Linfield

(Away)
25 Sept
Coleraine
1 : 3
Linfield
19 Sept
Linfield
1 : 0
Crusaders
15 Sept
Portadown
1 : 1
Linfield
12 Sept
Dungannon
0 : 1
Linfield
05 Sept
Linfield
1 : 0
Carrick Rangers
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coleraine 9 7 1 1 19:8 22
2 Linfield 9 7 1 1 12:6 22
3 Larne 6 5 1 0 12:3 16
4 Crusaders 9 5 0 4 15:14 15
5 Glentoran 9 4 1 4 13:10 13
6 Dungannon 8 4 1 3 9:8 13
7 Cliftonville 9 4 0 5 12:11 12
8 Carrick Rangers 9 3 1 5 11:15 10
9 Ballymena 8 2 3 3 12:11 9
10 Limavady 8 3 0 5 7:11 9
11 Bangor FC 9 1 2 6 8:19 5
12 Portadown 9 0 1 8 5:19 1
Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group)