Sport Picks

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Coleraine vs Windmill

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2021/2022 The Showgrounds, Coleraine
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Glackin J.
30' Event
Allen C.
39' Event
Shevlin M.

AI Match Summary

Coleraine in this Irish Cup 2021/2022 tie, finishing 6-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Coleraine
15%
Draws
26%
Windmill
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Coleraine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Coleraine lately — more wins on the board than Windmill.
  • Model gives Coleraine a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Coleraine have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Coleraine, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Coleraine Clean Sheet 20%
Windmill Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coleraine Windmill
Matches Played 29 10
Wins 20 4
Draws 4 0
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 2.28 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.1 2.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.23 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 8, 2022 Irish Cup
Coleraine vs Windmill
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coleraine Compare

Top Goalscorer Glackin J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Allen C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.72
Avg xA / game 1.11

Windmill Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coleraine 85 / 100
Windmill 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coleraine Windmill

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Coleraine Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Coleraine scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Defensive concern: Windmill conceded in 78% of 9 recent games.

Coleraine went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Coleraine VS -
3.25 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Coleraine

(Home)
15 Aug
Coleraine
0 : 0
Larne
08 Aug
Dungannon
1 : 3
Coleraine
30 Jul
Coleraine
0 : 3
HJK
23 Jul
HJK
5 : 0
Coleraine
18 Jul
Coleraine
3 : 0
Portadown
Page 1 of 6

Windmill

(Away)
08 Jan
Coleraine
6 : 0
Windmill
17 Aug
Woodvale
5 : 1
Windmill
30 Sept
Sport & Leisure
2 : 0
Windmill
19 Aug
Windmill
2 : 1
St. James' Swifts
19 Jul
Windmill
2 : 5
Banbridge
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Ballyclare 0
Carrick Rangers 2
Cliftonville 5
Islandmagee 0
Coleraine 6
Windmill 0
Portadown 2
Limavady 0
Ballinamallard 2
Ards Rangers 0
Glenavon 0
Crusaders 4
Knockbreda 0
Dungannon 2
Harland & Wolff 1
Annagh 2
Queens University 2
Newington FC 0
Dergview 2
Glentoran 3
Warrenpoint 1
Newry City 2
Ards 2
Dundela 3
Bangor FC 0
Larne 5
Linfield 4
Oxford Sunnyside 0
Ballymena 2
Loughgall 0
Institute 0
Portstewart 1
1/8-finals
Carrick Rangers 0
Cliftonville 1
Coleraine 2
Portadown 0
Ballinamallard 0
Crusaders 1
Dungannon 4
Annagh 1
Queens University 0
Glentoran 4
Newry City 1
Ards 0
Larne 2
Linfield 0
Ballymena 3
Portstewart 0
Quarter-finals
Cliftonville 2
Coleraine 1
Crusaders 4
Dungannon 2
Glentoran 1
Newry City 0
Larne 3
Ballymena 4
Semi-finals
Cliftonville 1
Crusaders 2
Newry City 0
Ballymena 1
Final
Crusaders 2
Ballymena 1